reply on: Praying for peace in the middle east. 😥🙏 🕊 \ stacker news ~meta

Dalio made an animated video summary of the book:

. I highly recommend the animated video summaries of all his books. I wrote the below summary before remembering the videos existed.

According to Dalio, who based this on a study of thousands of years of world orders and reserve currencies ...

The leading world power determines global order and issues the world reserve currency.
The leading world power expands their military empire to enforce order and maintain world reserve currency status and they take on increasing amounts of debt (because if anyone is going to pay their debt it's them and why not?).
They experience incredible debt fueled prosperity but slowly they begin to stop being as productive as they once were (because a. they'd rather just take on more debt and b. they have to begin paying their past debt)
Gradually then suddenly, their empire and debt is larger than they can service and they begin to debase their currency more and more to pay their debts and maintain their empire
The world, sensing their demise, dumps their currency and bonds which furthers an inflationary spiral
Up and coming world powers, sensing their demise, begin to challenge them economically and militarily (knowing they can't afford to engage in ongoing conflicts for much longer) ... which further weakens them
... disorder (war) ensues
... and so on until they're no longer able to enforce world order and have hyper-inflated their currency such they are no longer the issuers of the world reserve currency
another leading world power emerges (usually the best educated, most economically productive, mightiest militarily, etc) and establishes a world reserve currency that they control
then the new world power begins this cycle themselves over the course of 50-150 years

We are somewhere around 4 & 5 based on world events I'd guess.

Yeah. It's all happening

😮😮‍💨😰 thanks. If this is based on a pattern then we're in for some trouble.