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Globally, liquidity recedes as six major central banks' combined balance sheet shrinks to 35% of global GDP, up from the pre-pandemic 25%.

https://m.stacker.news/5039

Source: Fidelity

33 sats \ 1 reply \ @fm 16 Nov 2023

we are so fucked

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Oh yes. We are sleepwalking into a desaster

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I don't understand the graph - could you help me? It seems like assets as a % of GDP is going up - I take it that's a bad thing, but I don't understand how? Does it mean that banks are hording assets because they think something bad is coming? In a healthy economy do banks have way lower amounts of assets as a % of GDP?

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The first two that are highly correlated show that the market cap of global stocks (MSCI) is more or less a function of the cumulated central bank balance sheets (bs it is called I guess). Below it shows the for QE adjusted change of real rates of the Fed Fund Rate that since the GFC never went positive. Comm banks in this model are part of the cumulated MSCI.

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The soft landing is going to work right?

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The MSM is pretty clear about that. So... yes, of course

https://m.stacker.news/5060

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Just to put some hopium on the table. As long as they are drying off the RRP we are fine.

https://m.stacker.news/5043

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They’ll continue to manipulate as long as they can. Redefining a recession, making up a soft landing, more bank failures, remember the banks are all still insolvent. Nothing changed since the beginning of the year. These banks that failed were bigger than in 08

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