I've been predicting the college bubble to pop for too long now to actually deserve credit when it happens, but the situation is crazy.
I haven't checked enrollment figures lately, but as of last year college enrollments have been declining every year since about 2016. That's being driven by male students, which are who pursue STEM degrees disproportionately. That matters because it's the STEM degrees that drive returns to college estimates.
As more and more students pursue non-STEM degrees, the returns estimates will continue to fall. Plus, some of that decline is due to high paying technical fields, like programming dropping their degree requirements and relying on their own skill assessments instead.
Also, those returns to college are driven almost entirely by the top 5-10% of students in those STEM programs. That leaves a situation where almost nobody actually gets ahead by going to college, but they're all saddled with these enormous debt loads.
Related Article
Student Loans: The Continuing Crisis That Is Getting Worse
By Kevin Van Elswyk
"The student loan program is descending into chaos and the Biden administration is clueless about what to do. Furthermore, the value of a college education continues to fall while college costs increase."