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1131 sats \ 28 comments \ @Undisciplined 27 Dec 2023 Stacker_Sports

NFL Week 17 is up at freebitcoin. As it stands, there aren't any wildly good odds, but of course that will change.

I just barely covered last week. The Raider win was huge, but the 49ers were quite the let down. It was a similar story with soccer, Salernitana hanging in there with AC Milan made up for a bunch of other matches not going my way.

Any other big wins to celebrate? Big losses to mourn?

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343 sats \ 10 replies \ @tnuts420 27 Dec 2023

the lions cleaned up for me last week. they covered the spread, and won the division, both of which i had bets on. plus i got paid out by public for the nfc north bet. all in all not too shabby

21 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 27 Dec 2023

You also won the nfl weekly pick 'em

50 sats \ 0 replies \ @tnuts420 28 Dec 2023

good call, i almost forgot

21 sats \ 7 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 27 Dec 2023

Very nice.

Most of that is on the mainstream platforms (fanduel, etc) right?

293 sats \ 6 replies \ @tnuts420 27 Dec 2023

yeah at this point i'm still on draft kings. i was going to check out freebitcoin, but it was right at peak fees and they don't use lightning. i'll circle back once fees are down and i figure out their odds system

448 sats \ 5 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 27 Dec 2023

What happens first?

Fees come down
freebitcoin adopts LN
@ekzyis starts using real sats at https://delphi.market/#/

314 sats \ 4 replies \ @ek 27 Dec 2023 freebie

@ekzyis starts using real sats at https://delphi.market/#/

lol, I appreciate that you haven't forgotten about delphi

but I am wondering ... would you use it with real sats in the state it is now?

I feel like it's lacking a ton of UI/UX features like PWA with (push) notifications, a working stats page per market, a better overview which markets are running and settled, when markets are going to expire, ...

And I haven't even started with hardening the setup. I am still a n00b when it comes to running LN nodes.

374 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 27 Dec 2023

I trust you enough that I would use it if you were comfortable enough to launch real sats. Whether anyone else would is a fair question.

314 sats \ 2 replies \ @ek 27 Dec 2023 freebie

Well, I would at least compensate you if you lose sats (and make sure I have good accounting going on to know who lost how many sats) and/or put strict limits on the amount of trading volume. But I also appreciate your trust in me :)

I am also looking forward to real sats on delphi. I had a call with @Alby and they mentioned that someone should fork manifold.markets since it's FOSS and replace their in-game currency Mana with real sats.

But I think I have a different vision for delphi. I don't intend to have huge volumes or a profitable business model one day [0]. I am more interested in making prediction market very accessible. A more "p2p microbets prediction market platform", you could say. A platform that runs itself and can be run by anyone so I need to do zero maintenance. So basically, not only decentralizing the oracle, but the whole market itself.

But the idea with forking manifold.markets is still a good one!

[0] but maybe that's what they all say in the beginning.

395 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined OP 27 Dec 2023

Don't feel like you have to rush it on our account: we all have nearly zero time-preference, after all.

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283 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 1 Jan

500sat bet won me 13k sats on the Cardinals. Wow. And propelled the 49ers to the number 1 seed. I am now up around 9500 sats on the season. Would have been a horrible week for me if not for that Cardinals win.

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined OP 1 Jan

The Cardinals put me in the black for the season. I think I ultimately had almost 30:1 odds for them, but I didn't have as much on them as you, so it was only about 9k for me.

In general, it was a very good week for RBOA. Several other games hit pretty big.

283 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 1 Jan

Yeah that was a big upset that I thought could go either way prior to the game. Cardinals have been playing much better. Murray is playing for his job, Conner is a good RB and the Eagles D is a mess this year. Gannon definitely wanted to beat his old team. This was the Cardinals superbowl.

364 sats \ 4 replies \ @grayruby 27 Dec 2023

49ers ruined Christmas.

121 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 27 Dec 2023

At least that wasn't the morning game. There are a lot of Chiefs fans around me and that was a ruined Christmas. My dad and I took immense delight seeing people taking down their Chiefs decorations.

293 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 27 Dec 2023

Didn't exactly ruin Christmas but it is fun to say. Out of their 3 remaining games it was the least important to win being a non conference game and I don't necessarily think it's a bad thing they got their butts kicked after 6 games in a row dominating other teams. No more MVP talk, no more generationally good offense talk, just focus on cleaning it up, playing their game and grinding out 2 more wins so they can get the bye and rest some of these guys that are banged up.

I went a different route with my bets this week. I bet small on all the underdogs and a bit bigger on the ravens and 49ers. Ravens odds are pretty good right now. I do think Miami can make that game interesting though.

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined OP 27 Dec 2023

Did you see the stat that Lamar was 19-1 (now 20-1) against the NFC?

The idea is that he's almost impossible to prepare for, if you don't see him regularly.

293 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 27 Dec 2023

Yes, he tends to only lose divisional games. Although that has nothing to do with why the 49ers lost. Lamar had a good game, he wasn't unbeatable. The D played fairly well considering the offense and special teams kept giving the Ravens the ball at midfield or better.

293 sats \ 2 replies \ @BTC_Bellzer 27 Dec 2023

I had the Ravens winning (good) separately in a low scoring game (bad) with a Gus Edwards TD (good)

21 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined OP 27 Dec 2023

Did you just like the odds on the Ravens or did you expect them to win?

290 sats \ 0 replies \ @BTC_Bellzer 28 Dec 2023

Both

0 sats \ 5 replies \ @PlebeiusG 27 Dec 2023

@ekzyis I want a front page where I can turn off sports ball.

30 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 1 Jan

Your dream has come true. You can now mute the sports territory. Hopefully this makes your SN experience better.

20 sats \ 0 replies \ @PlebeiusG 1 Jan

Is this goodbye? 🥺

0 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 27 Dec 2023

I am sure you will be able to mute territories eventually and miss out on all the fun.

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @PlebeiusG 27 Dec 2023

There’s just too much fun and I like depraving myself of life’s joys. Sports ball makes me too happy and it must go. #gosports

30 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 27 Dec 2023

Understandable.