Will Bitcoin hit all-time-high? Will ETF be approved? Will Putin survive? Will Elton John still be standing?
Post the most interesting and important questions for the upcoming year!
Will the US default? (It will happen when least people expect it)
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I have no doubt that default is the end of this story, but there are a lot of different possible chapters between here and there.
What do you expect a US default to look like?
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That US defaults and rest of the world doesnt?
USDX index below 20 maybe?
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That's a great point. Americans tend to forget about the rest of the world. In all likelihood the world would be a complete disaster zone before the US had to default.
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It means the US must cut spending 30% or more which is the portion of the budget that is financed by debt. The dollar will probably soar short term in that case and markets and assets will deflate and likely stay deflated even when inflation picks back up.
Why? Because the judges, the congress, the military, the police, you name it will still be in place. So nothing will actually change. They will double down on stupidity and make even worse economic policies and borrow, print and spend even harder after a while. So the beginning of the end if anything. But lets see.
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Fair. I just meant it's the end of this particular debt story.
Conventional wisdom is that a US default would have the opposite effect on the dollar, since the whole "full faith and credit" thing would be severely devalued and US Treasuries would no longer be treated as "risk free" assets.
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Your are not wrong. However, there is no great alternative to the dollar, so it will still be the safe haven asset for most people. Hard to explain i guess, But lets see.
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Will the Ukrainian war end?
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Are we there yet?
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This reminds me of the insufferable song from CocoMelon. I’m sure parents can relate
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Will Trump win?
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To you and @phantom, I think the more interesting question is how many ballots he'll appear on.
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442 sats \ 1 reply \ @kr 27 Dec 2023
if i had to guess i’d say all of them
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That's my guess too, but a lot of election officials have gone rogue over the past few years and paid zero consequences for doing so.
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Will next President serve a full term?
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Will mempool clear up?
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Will corporate/institutionalized mining go bankrupt after next halving?
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Will Trump will the 2024 elections?
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Will we see any notable names on the Epstein client list or will it be cherry-picked?
Will any of them be those kind of clients?
Will any of those kind of clients be prosecuted to the full extent of the law?
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It will almost certainly be cherry-picked, but that doesn't mean there won't be any notable names. There will be people who get thrown under the bus and probably some of the well known associates (Prince Andrew, Bill Clinton, etc.) will be listed for the sake of credibility.
I also expect some token prosecutions and civil suits, because I think they know that public concerns over this topic need to be addressed.
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Will the push against wokeness continue? Will the US ramp up censorship and cancel the elections to protect democracy? Which EU country will default first and trigger a cascade pushing the ECB to bail out the union? Will Germany still have an industrial base with their current energy policy? Will Zelensky be left to its own fate for the West to focus on a newer, shinier war?
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Will China invade Taiwan
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30% it happens before 2030
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Will AI take over my job?
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Will evidence of UFOs be made public?
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Seems to be an increasingly more common topic lately
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Will lightning fix its ux problems (liquidity/channel management) or will there be a viable layer 2 alternative to lightning?
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Will anyone read this 😔
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I did buddy!
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Will any Epstein island elites be exposed?
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How far will AI progress and how many people will lose their jobs as a result?
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Will the Palestine and Israel war end? Will Russia stop invading Ukraine?
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#Will the economy improve worldwide? #Trump or Biden? #Open peace around the world? Honestly, all unknowns are valid.
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Will Bitcoin hit all-time-high?
Yes.
Will ETF be approved?
Yes.
Will Putin survive?
Yes.
Will Elton John still be standing?
Of course!
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Will we finally activate CTV , Drivechains, Vaults and the many BIPs that we need to scale Bitcoin instead of use the time to fight an unwinable battle?
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I think the recent discussions around "ordinals" and Ocean's "censoring" TX has brought light on all the fine details of mining pools. Now we have a few questions on how we want to see bitcoin mining and pools develop.
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Will the Dollar collapse and Bitcoin become reserve currency of the world? If not in 2024, we can keep asking this each year until it happens
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How will bitcoin scale?
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  • How will governments attempt to further erode our freedoms?
  • What will the next narrative be against encryption and digital privacy?
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Will the bitcoin rocket land on the moon? Maybe it will just do an orbit or two and come down?
Asking for my future retired self…
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Will we be able to focus on building quality tools on bitcoin and making stronger the fundamentals, instead lost our selves by paying to much attention on nonsenses such as ETFs and fiat value appreciation?
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Will the deflating money supply actually bring prices down?
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