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Been thinking about this lately and discovered I'm not alone in thinking this. For a long time MSTR has been a proxy stock of bitcoin. I suspect as people prepare for the ETF and if the ETF are approved that many stocks will be sold and converted to the ETFs. But, in the longer term of 6-12 months will MSTR continue to drop?
What do you think?
Probably a bit. I suspect it will trade at a discount to its bitcoin holdings considering the debt it holds but will rise in value with the bitcoin price and still outperform the market.
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It has dropped over the past few days and I suspect the ETF is why.
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Yeah. Makes sense. I haven't owned MSTR in awhile but if it did trade at a juicy discount to the bitcoin holdings I would pick some up and ride it through the bull because it might catch a bid as a levered bitcoin play if we have another fomo season.
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Some things MSTR has going for it compare to the ETF:
  • MSTR can dilute the stock and/or take on debt to buy more bitcoin. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L0kuVPw8qM0
  • There is not a yearly expense fee for MSTR like with the ETF.
  • A Figure Head (Saylor) that is more likeable from a BTC stand point then a Wall Street Banker.
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Good analysis
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I intend to hold my MSTR until it becomes worth $0. Just for the story. Bought in 2020. The tale will go something like this "....and in the end, there truly was no second best. The End."
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I am in the same boat. I bought a lot of MSTR in 2022 when it was below 200
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I'm no expert, but Fred Kreuger agrees MicroStrategy will take a hit post ETF. He spoke about it recently on TFTC. He dies think it will still do well in the long run. Me? I wouldn't buy the ETF or microstrategy
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Yeah, I actually listened to that appearance. I like getting varied opinions. Fred has a very different view than myself, Marty, and what you have stated.
I tend to land near you. I do think if you have money locked up in retirement accounts these might be better options vs many stocks and ETFs.
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Fred has an institutional bias because of his career and background. MSTR has outperformed ETF since they launched and I am aware MSTR is down to 1200 after being near 2000. I have MSTR in my Roth IRA.
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @OT 9 Jan
Its possible
Might be interesting to look at fees charged for the ETF, then fees for holding MSTR.
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No fees for MSTR
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