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Which is why it won’t happen

The Federal Reserve is supposed to leave interest rates unchanged during an election year.

Powell created a loophole in December by saying we expect 6 rate reductions in 2024.

Until “inflation” hits 2 percent, Powell cannot lower rates.

He will only increase rates if he is feeling “suicidal”

I agree with half of what you said. No way he raises rates before the election. However, I can see him making the case that 2 1/2 or 2 3/4% inflation is close enough for a rate cut. The media will give him cover.

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That’s true

The media is already questioning the 2 percent target.

https://time.com/6548908/inflation-target-federal-reserve-essay/

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Yep. Need to readjust now

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