Buying a home is by far the largest purchase most of us will make, and paying the rent or mortgage will be our largest monthly expense. In the post-pandemic home-buying boom, the median sale price of a new home peaked at almost $500,000 dollars, just under seven times the median household annual income that year (though it has since fallen). Most new homebuyers will pay around 30% of their income on their mortgage, and the median renter in the bottom quintile of income spends 60% of their income on rent.
Because of the enormous costs of housing, it's worth understanding where, specifically, those costs come from, and what sort of interventions would be needed to reduce these costs. Discussions of housing policy often focus on issues of zoning, regulation, and other supply restrictions which manifest as increased land prices, but for most American housing, the largest cost comes from building the physical structure itself. However, in dense urban areas — the places where building new housing is arguably most important — this changes, and high land prices driven by regulatory restrictions become the dominant factor.
Because of the fiat system, people use their homes for a store of value. Once we switch to Bitcoin, our houses will go down in value like they should. With time a home degrades. It doesn't offer new value. So the price should go down. We are conditioned to think homes are investments. They shouldn't be.
Whilst I agree, as I included real estate as a collectible in #495408 …
…I’m not convinced there’s enough housing created to come online in these next 5 years to bring the broad market down.
If anything we may see less housing created these next few years due to the uncertainty of recouping the mentioned costs of construction. Still will go down vs the best SoV, but up in nominal terms.
Good. Stop building shit. This idea that we need to expand and add jobs and build more is a idea born out of broken momey. There are so many empty houses around. It's sad. The world is so broken right now.