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There was no need for provocations, I grew up as a kid with teachings from parents and grandparents and grandgrandparents that Soviet Union is evil and Latvia will become free again some day (and you could get in trouble with KGB for talking such things back then). Same for most other non-Russians in USSR.
Soviet Union lost Cold War.
Warsaw Pact dissolved.
Baltic States gained independence.
Ukraine gained independence.
Everything was fine until Euromaidan 2014
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No, it wasn't. Georgia 2008? Putin should have been stopped back then.
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According to academic Martin Malek, western countries did not feel it was necessary to aggravate tensions with Russia over "tiny and insignificant" Georgia.
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Same mistake West did with Czechoslovakia in 1938 (Munich Agreement).
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Not the same
Munich agreement was more serious
It was a mistake to concede Czechoslovakia because balance of power shifted to Germany
Georgia did not change balance of power
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No, nothing changed in balance of power with Sudetenland. It's about stupid idea giving dictators what they want with idea that they will stop there and there will be peace. They won't, they will expand as much as they are allowed to.
My mistake
I forgot about 2008 in Georgia 🇬🇪
Why did Russia invade Georgia?
NATO membership potential
Stop extending NATO membership to former Soviet states and war can be averted!
Georgia invasion was 30 days or less
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So countries don't have rights to choose their destiny? NATO membership in these countries has popular support. Why? Because they are afraid of Russian invasion again, as it have happened in past centuries. Russia (Muscovy) is collapsing empire since Crimean War (1853-1856), but it doesn't want to die yet.
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NATO expansion has been a geopolitical mistake.
Ukraine wants to join NATO but not enough members will approve especially USA
USA must approve with 67 senators voting yes
I predict Ukraine will have less than 50 votes
NATO is a Cold War relic. We live in a post Cold War world. NATO should be dissolved
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Maybe Ukraine will not join NATO in the future, but that should be free choice of Ukraine and other member states, Russia should have any rights to interfere with this.