We recently had a discussion about whether 1 satoshi could be worth $1. here. My conclusion to this was no, not in todays Dollars and in future Dollars there needs to be a lot of inflation happening to be realistic.

So, I want to give you another approach how to estimate how much money you will have in a hyperbitcoinized world.

I do not want to work with the countervalue of goods and services, investments or the current M2 money supply. The issue with these estimates is that they work with a lot of assumptions. The world might work completely differently with a hard money - multiples of companies, the margins they charge that consumers pay, consumers consumerism patterns etc. all of these things would be unclear. I'm sure you have your opinions on them - but the truth is that we genuinely just don't know.

Instead, let's use the number of humans and number sats. The beauty of this approach is that I do not have to put the dirty word "Dollar" in my mouth. Another advantage of using the number of humans will change the absolute numbers but not the money distribution curve through the economy. Thus, we can calculate with the number of humans on earth right now and the number of sats you own right now.

If you want to make your own estimations you'll only have to change how steep the distribution curve is.

So, according to the Worldometer we have about 8 billion people. This is not a good source, I admit, but it's an interesting website I wanted to mention and 8 billion is more or less where most sources expect it to be around. There are 21 million Bitcoin - we could calculate with 18 million or even 14 billion since many Bitcoin are probably lost forever - this is also something we cannot know and cannot adjust for - so let's use 21 million.

With an equal distribution (unrealistic, hear me out first) we would have 0.002625 Bitcoin per person. Do you own 262500 Sats? If yes, congratulations, you are an average human in an hyperbitcoinized utopia with equal distribution.

Let's use a distribution that is more realistic. Imagine the top 10% of people own 50% of all Bitcoin. Sounds unequal but is still more well distributed than our current fiat system. Still, to me that sounds like the most realistic and most utopian and optimistic scenario - maybe you disagree, tell me in the comments. Also, it's a nice round number and easy to imagine. That would be 800 million people owning 10.5 million Bitcoin. The average human in the 10% of this utopia own 0.013125 Bitcoin. Idk about you guys but this sounds amazing to me. Only 1.3m sats buy me a place in the 10%? Awesome.

The conclusion at this point should be that for all of us that getting more people onboard is much more important than stacking a lot yourself. Tell your friends and family that low monthly savings rate with DCA already is a lot - they don't have to be crazy maxis mortgaging their houses to buy Bitcoin like Michael Saylor did say.

Finally, let's roughly try out a few numbers from wealth distribution of the current US. The 1% roughly owns 30% of all wealth. You own 0.07875 Bitcoin? Congrats, Mr Fancypants 1%. The 50th to 90th percentile own roughly as much and with only 0.00196875 you're in the solid (upper-) middle class.

Cheers!