Could you try to distill what you learned reading the Incerto by NN Taleb?

haha, sure, and I do recommend it btw, just don't ever interact with him outside his books. it's not so much facts or even ideas as "ways of thinking". he's very good at making you suitably suspicious of how statistics and modeling might be misleading you, and if you get stuck into the more technical elements you'll pick up some heuristics on the math involved in debunking what he calls "macrobullshitting" beyond just your intuition.