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I am super bullish on Purdy with a full offseason and training camp, healthy weapons and more depth to back up those weapons if they do go down. I don't think the Chiefs care that much about the regular season but yeah if Mahomes goes off all year he will be a lock for the MVP.
2025 NFL MVP Odds
Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs +500 Josh Allen Buffalo Bills +900 Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals +900 C.J. Stroud Houston Texans +1000 Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens +1200 Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers +1400 Jordan Love Green Bay Packers +1400 Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys +1600 Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers +1600 Jalen Hurts Philadelphia Eagles +1600 Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams +2000 Aaron Rodgers New York Jets +2000 Tua Tagovailoa Miami Dolphins +2500 Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville Jaguars +3000 Jared Goff Detroit Lions +3000
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I like the value on Purdy, Mahomes, and Burrow.
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Burrow is an interesting one. I really like Burrow. I don't know if he will put up MVP numbers though and that division is a meat grinder.
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I could see a scenario where he has a bunch of game winning drives that keep them in contention, plus some solid numbers, that make him a media darling.
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What about Aiyuk? There's a lot of noise about him wanting out.
I'm not sure Mahomes even has to go off. I think MVP voters regret their votes when their guy flames out in the playoffs. No one's going to regret having voted for Mahomes.
It also seems like Purdy has the classic hurdle of too many talented teammates. It's really hard to assess what his contribution is.
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Aiyuk reported to camp unlike CeeDee Lamb. He wants the St Brown deal. I don't think he will get it. We will see. I know Shanahan will want to keep him and Kyle usually gets what he wants but they have to pay Purdy next year so even with the cap going up and the ability to punt the big cap hits a few years down the road they will definitely need to make some changes. Maybe they let Aiyuk play out the year and then franchise tag and trade him. He really has no leverage other than holding out and getting fined 50k per day.
Trent Williams also wants his deal redone but I think that is more about the guaranteed money. I am sure they will get that resolved.
49ers are in a really good spot for this season. We will see what happens next year when they have to start paying Purdy. Maybe they let Aiyuk go, maybe they trade Deebo.
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This seems like their last best chance. I'd be all in on making everyone as happy as possible for this season and deal with the rest later.
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It might be their best chance. I am not sure about last chance though. Shanahan and Lynch have built a great system and they develop late round draft picks better than anyone. If Brock is the guy and they lock him up I think they will have more chances but this might be the best chance with a team littered with all pros.
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I mean it seems like their last chance before it becomes really hard to maintain the roster.
You're right that your coach-GM combo have proven their competence.
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