pull down to refresh

20 sats \ 9 replies \ @Satosora 2 Aug \ on: Polymarket vs PredictIt news
This is messed up. But I bet it is based on how much someone bets. So Trump must be leading in money.
write
preview
this territory is moderated
20 sats \ 7 replies \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
It’s odd that there is such a discrepancy between the two.
reply
20 sats \ 6 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
As more people bet on harris, the price difference should become closer.
reply
20 sats \ 5 replies \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
Yes but what’s odd is they are betting on her on one platform but not the other. They should both have similar odds otherwise you could arbitrage the difference.
reply
50 sats \ 4 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
Just different platforms. I have seen this happen before. The odds will converge as more people bet, usually...
reply
20 sats \ 3 replies \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
You’re likely right.
reply
20 sats \ 2 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
Do you know when the betting took off?
reply
20 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
Not sure
reply
20 sats \ 0 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
Yeah, it will probably even out or get closer as time goes on. Unless one of them really pulls ahead on the polls. That would easily make the betting biased.
reply on another page
20 sats \ 0 replies \ @Bell_curve 3 Aug
Predict doesn’t use real money
reply