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21 sats \ 17 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 31 Aug 2024 \ parent \ on: Kamala's Housing Plan Will Make Housing Even More Expensive econ
You know that the only election he's ever won was against a woman right?
Hilary was old, it doesn't count, it was like having biden in front of him. That points to the other positive on Kamala's side: she's much younger. A young, "black/latina" woman. Game over.
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You're moving the goal posts. That kind of demographic analysis comes up every election cycle and it almost never pans out. She's intensely unlikable, which will keep many women and minorities from supporting her.
Here are my predictions:
- Fewer than half of women who are eligible to vote will vote for Kamala
- She'll do worse with black voters than Biden did
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I want to believe you. I'm highly pessimistic on this one.
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I have the same gut feeling that I had in 2016. Someone that uncharismatic can't win a national election. Now, they might just cheat. That wouldn't surprise me.
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You can rig hundreds or thousands of votes. But that's only useful if the elections are way too balanced, as when Biden won. Like, ok, Trump might have been the one to win that state by +200 instead of losing by -500, but... in a state of 10.000.000 voters? ...such a lame difference? When the difference is so small it's meaningless, and by all means the right decision is power alternance in such scenario.
So what you have to look at is not if they "have" to cheat but if they can cheat. If they can barely tick the compass so to make it change direction, then the compass is broken. It's key to address that because after Biden won, Trump voters remained convinced that everything happened solely due to cheating and no auto-correction was ever made. Now, no correction has been made, and for many choosing Trump has become solely a way to not to chose Kamala. That's not how you get things straight. The core problem must be addressed.
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You're right and they seem to realize the need to run up the margins in the would be swing states.
I actually think the potential scale of electronic vote switching is large enough to determine outcomes, without being overly suspicious. Not to mention, as we're seeing in Venezuela, if the regime declares an outcome and insists upon it, there's no easy remedy.
In Michigan the number of citizens age 18 years and over is 77 percent. However the voter registration rate is 83 percent. Obviously the 83 percent is wrong, a blatant over count.
Her problem is likability especially outside of California.
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