pull down to refresh
50 sats \ 4 replies \ @Bell_curve OP 21 Sep 2024 \ parent \ on: Path to dictatorship Politics_And_Law
This is similar to what Nate Silver had until recently. Maybe he got the tap on the shoulder because his most recent map was close to dead heat whereas he had Trump winning handily before.
reply
I'm always rooting for the tie scenarios. That would be absolute pandemonium.
reply
Oh man. Could you imagine.
reply
That's one of the things I like about Silver's prediction model, it gives the odds of a tie. At one point they were around 5%, which is pretty high for such an outlandish outcome.
reply