I've written before something to the effect that, given the revolutionary impact of #bitcoin, the Satoshi identity might be the biggest mystery since...well, I'm not really sure since when. But, I feel bitcoin is the most revolutionary idea/invention in economics since Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations in 1776. Maybe it's the most revolutionary one ever because bitcoin is Adams' capitalism automated and auto-running, independent of man's whims and combining so many various intellectual fields (econ, math, comp sci, game theory, human psych, physics, sociology, politics and governance, more).
HBO evidently has a documentary coming out next Weds, 10/10 where they've "identified" Satoshi. We'll see.
I'll make my call right here:
  • It'll be one of the usual suspects, my guess is either Nick Szabo or Wei Dai. I'ld guess Szabo.
  • They'll offer up as "evidence" a document or email that has previously been unseen, something from early 2008, or even prior, referencing bitgold for Szabo or b-money for Dai.
  • And that will be essentially the crux of it. There won't be a transaction signed by Satoshi's keys.
  • I'll offer one wildcard prediction because it's fun. They might ID a science fiction author. I don't read sci-fi (maybe I should), but I understand that sci-fi authors almost always pre-write almost every innovation that's ever happened. I could see them referencing a bitcoinesque currency or idea in a sci-fi novel and them naming the author as Satoshi.
Got my popcorn ready! 🍿 (Now, if I only had HBO. 😃)
It will lead you on and say that it is all of us
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Maybe the real Satoshi is the friends we made along the way
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13 sats \ 0 replies \ @crrdlx OP 5h
I like this.
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I mean, it is all of us
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Correct
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Do most lay people know who Satoshi is lol
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21 sats \ 3 replies \ @crrdlx OP 7h
That's actually a good question. I've love to see a poll aimed at the general public, something like, "What is Satoshi Nakamoto best known for?" Or maybe a multiple choice "Who made bitcoin?"
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I would predict that a majority of people in the west could associate Satoshi with Bitcoin, as the creator or inventor; but not much further. The origin story is so unique that people generally remember that part. It might be the only thing they know about it.
I think people could recall “Bitcoin” >50% if you said “what did Satoshi Nakamoto”, and maybe >40% could recall “Satoshi Nakamoto” if you asked “who make Bitcoin”.
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31 sats \ 1 reply \ @crrdlx OP 5h
I don't know. I kind of think it would be theater way around...if you asked a more open ended question like, "What did Satoshi make?" I'd be surprised if 20% had a bitcoinish answer. If you asked a more leading question like, "Who made bitcoin?" I'm going to guess >50% would say Satoshi if given multiple choice, but very few could offer a name from memory, like 10%.
And you know what? I've got a situation tomorrow where I might be able to actually ask these questions (or similar). Screw it, I just might do it!
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Very interested in your data and results!
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My prediction: it will be revealed that we are all satoshi.
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21 sats \ 0 replies \ @crrdlx OP 6h
Digging around, found the documenatary trailer. Looks like Adam Back is in it. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iSF0KGsFuI8
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I think they may offer up Hal Finney, Adam Back or Len Sassaman!
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Is Craig Wright the documentary producer? 😂
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I’m pumped for this documentary. Any documentary that’s related to Bitcoin always piques my interest. Hopefully it’s a good one.
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Woah this plays right into some speculative thoughts I was having the other day:
An effective attack on bitcoins social consensus, I believe, would be to “identify” and prosecute Satoshi Nakamoto. Dragging the name through the mud on a very public alter.
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As such, the exposure of Satoshi as its alleged creator threatens to raise some huge questions, not least his potential complicity in crimes that have featured Bitcoin use. It could also establish him as one of the world’s richest people: Satoshi himself is estimated to control about 1.1 million Bitcoin, but it's unclear if he still has access to the cryptographic keys to the fortune. If he did, this would put his net worth at $66 billion at current valuations.
(emphasis mine)
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Somehow I missed the source that was cited by the "source" that I cited. Second hand information is such fun! Anyway, it's below.
To me, the article reads like a smart high schooler wrote it...somebody who can dig the internet, leverage AI, and come up with a plausible article on the HBO show. But, I'm not sure about how much the author truly knows about bitcoin.
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Satoshi is dead. If you meet him on the road, kill him.
There was only ever an abstract pseudonym. It never was any person to identify, just a vision of a better software based money — one with greater transparency and integrity. One “they” couldn’t shut down. 140y monetary adventure.
We are all Satoshi. Nice try HBO.
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We must do everything to protect our identity.
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Whoops wrong date! It's Weds 10/9 (not the 10th).
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 6h
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The documentary conclusion: Diddy is Satoshi and Bitcoin is for pedophile rappers.
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