California became wealthy through genuine economic productivity and has devolved into a welfare state. That's very similar to the story in much of Europe.
My point is that California wouldn't be any worse off than a typical European nation. That may be worse than its current situation, but it's not really a complete collapse.
California may have become wealthy in that way. That was the past. They are barely keeping afloat. I bet soon their local government will ask for a bailout. They are also struggling with immigration and the homeless.
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These are all reversible short-term issues, though. I'm not aware of any reasons that CA can't get better, but they will have to work through these problems. That's true whether or not they're independent. The state is on a major decline and that will likely result in a bunch of government defaults on various financial obligations.
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With time, any country or state can get better, in the right conditions. I just dont feel california could actually split and survive under the condition it is under right now.
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