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I doubt it will be a fork anyways... the situation is much more complicated than it was in 2017.... in the pre-LN era.
If we have a fork now, imagine how people will react and start closing LN channels, liquidity will became a mess, mempool full of shit, it will be quite some chaos.
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Great point. And this only gets more messy as more things like LN come online.
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Thanks for the clarification. I should have had option one be "Accept coins on original chain."
However, I suspect many bitcoiners would choose to accept coins on the new chain. Especially if the change promulgated by the forkers was a change already discussed by the bitcoin community. The danger I see here is in the precedent it sets, not necessarily in the coin it creates.