Yep, this is a solid take.

I frequently wonder if the USG is just... unintentionally kneecapping themselves here? Or if there's something way worse going on.

Even without a hard fork, the idea of nations or even corporations accumulating bitcoin faster than the rest of us to the point that they own 90-95+% of all the bitcoins over time is a scary thought. In some ways that sounds worse than our current setup.