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But the point remains: this has been the worst cycle in bitcoin's history, while the fundamentals (adoption, information, products, institutions) have been the best. What gives? What's the mismatch?
I didn’t look at the chart right now, but hasn’t every cycle been the worst one and the fundamentals have always been mostly the same?
Since I can't explain why this nonsense occurs
Isn’t paper hands always the answer to some degree? But I guess that’s as insightful as answering the question "Why is bitcoin crashing???" with "Because people are selling," lol
prices are truth
I would say prices are eventually truth
hasn’t every cycle been the worst one
Pretty much, which is exactly what you'd expect and I've seen @denlillaapan express that expectation, too.
As more value is stored in bitcoin, it's just harder to move the exchange rate by the same percentage. Alternatively, as we get nearer to equilibrium purchasing power there's less arbitrage opportunity, so there's less incentive to get in.
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28 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 20h
Yeah, I’d be worried when we see -20% or more within a day so early in the cycle.
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I wouldn't say so: fundamentals are much better, while return/acceleration much lower. (From a finance theoretical view that's sort of what I would expect, but not if we're a new neutral reserve asset)
As for paper hands, that's a lovely explanation... but as you say, pretty unsatisfactory!
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