pull down to refresh
57 sats \ 0 replies \ @optimism OP 15 Mar \ parent \ on: Will Economic Detox Lead to a Recession? (Wolf Richter) econ
Actually this is a really nice framing. Agility is key and this has been a huge issue in Europe the past few years. More agile national economies are doing pretty well despite inflation, and the sluggish ones are doing awful. From that perspective there's a lot of hope for the US.
Also, it's mostly psychological. We'll tighten our spending when we believe we're in a recession. This may very well be the logic behind the narrative to not watch the stock market too closely and focus on the long term - wouldn't surprise me to be honest and I'd say that's a smart move especially now that people are still listening.
PS: If this projected bear case will happen despite optimism, I do hope it can break the S&P-to-Bitcoin peg though, because that phase was very nice but it's time to move on.