Yeah, I know, it's insane. But it's the FT saying stupid dollar shit, clickbaiting their TDS readers (#933308)... I have a moral obligation to the Stackers to read it and filter it for them.
Donald Trump insists that “if we lost the dollar as the world currency . . . that would be the equivalent of losing a war”. Yet he himself could be the cause of such a loss.
Just so the Stackers know, TINA!
"...while outsiders might wish to diversify away from the dollar, they lack a compelling alternative."
But while many regions are "on the rise," America hasn't relatively shrunk the way former empires/issuers of global money did:
Given the rise of China’s economy during that period, this is remarkable. The US also remains at the frontier of world technological development and the foremost military power. Its financial markets are still much the deepest and most liquid.
Share of global reserves (basically central bank holdings) is down from its peaks decades ago... but the decline is slow-af, and there's no good reason (bar bitcoinization of the world...) that it would continue falling much further. Least dirty shirt in the pile, etc.
CHALLENGES:
- "What if the hegemon uses every economic stick it can, including financial sanctions, to get its way?"
- "What if the hegemon threatens invasions of friendly countries and encourages invasions of friendly countries by despots?"
- "What if the hegemon undermines its own fiscal and monetary stability and the institutional foundations of its economic success?" (#984032)
- "What if its leader is an unprincipled bully?"
In the kingdom of the blind, the one-eyed man is king. Similarly, even a defective incumbent currency might continue to rule the monetary world, given the lack of high-quality substitutes.
As a nice little afterthought we get that "a crypto based world [is] surely inconceivable." (Given that even this clown mentions it, clearly it's not inconceivable, but whatevs)
IF ONLY there was a neutral, unstoppable, perfectly made money available for all the world's enemies
alas, the intelligentsia gotta step aside for that to happen, one would think...
non-paywalled: https://archive.md/a2gf4