Thanks.

ok cool, I extended it to Feb 28th.

All the above markets resolved, except Jamarr Chase

Awesome! Thanks. I will start resolving it.

The market is open: https://beta.predyx.com/market/kash-patel-fbi-director

Ok, I'm going to extend this market then. By when do you think the FBI director will be decided?

lol, you can count me in as "non-baseball people"

Yes, I concur. Fuck em all.

Also, should we extend the markets timeline, no FBI director has been picked yet. https://beta.predyx.com/market/kash-patel-fbi-director

I'm not an economist, but you're make a good point here.

I think the Elon will definitely do his best not to lie about the numbers, but who knows.

💯

I'm here to help, you need any assistance in understanding the underlying principles for Prediction markets. I think once @south_korea_ln posted a very good youtube video of prediction markets tutorial, can you please share again?

Yes this will be tricky to resolve. I'm sure DOGE will publish some kind of numbers. We will go with majority consensus among the media like MSM, AP, FOX etc.

Yes, "closed" - means not paid out yet. I wanted to talk to you about it. Can you please help me resolve the sports markets, not very familiar with the results. Here are the closed ones:

https://beta.predyx.com/market/chiefs-win-afc-championship https://beta.predyx.com/market/bills-win-afc-championship https://beta.predyx.com/market/ravens-win-afc-championship https://beta.predyx.com/market/lions-win-nfc-championship https://beta.predyx.com/market/jamarr-chase-wins-top-flex-2024 https://beta.predyx.com/market/celtics-win-emirates-nba-cup https://beta.predyx.com/market/birds-of-a-feather-grammy-song-of-the-year

And the other closed ones, I will start resolving it. https://beta.predyx.com/market/major-election-riots-in-2024-2025 - this will resolve to NO.

Here's the market link: https://beta.predyx.com/market/doge-cuts-1t-federal-deficit-by-fy-2026

Is the market resolution criteria accurate? Please let me know and I will create it. Also let me know how many shares you guys want to buy initially, I will add initial liquidity accordingly.

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the end of Fiscal Year 2026 (September 30, 2026), the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is credited with directly reducing the U.S. federal deficit by at least $1 trillion through cost-cutting measures, policy reforms, or efficiency initiatives.

The reduction must be explicitly attributed to DOGE in official government reports (e.g., Congressional Budget Office, U.S. Treasury, or White House budget statements) or a consensus of credible financial media sources.

If no such attribution is made by September 30, 2026, at 23:59 PT, this market will resolve to “No”.

Yes, I learnt this today It’s in the hands of the states. Thanks for sharing!

BTW: There's also a prediction market for it on lightning network: https://beta.predyx.com/market/trump-creates-bitcoin-reserve-in-100-days

Thanks for sharing! It seems from your username, you must be the designer who designed all of this. Great work! Predyx needs a good designer as well, how or where can we find someone as good as you?

Thanks for bulling, pestering and inciting me 😡! Happy to see SN folks staking on this market 🙂