12% chance

If you only knew what else this guy believes...

What does it do though? How does it work? When should i use it?

How does the Family feature work like?

Meh...

We're libertarians around here.

Or spending cuts.

(I don't think any type of BSR will happen though)

Thought the same.

His entire book feels like an poorly written undergrad essay. Poor logical reasoning skills and weak arguments.

@HYPERBITCOINZATION There is an issue with the reward payout.

My bet was made when the odds were very different from the final odd. I was paid the final odd. Very different reward. I took a bigger risk but I was paid the last hour probability.

Let's say I bet when the odds were 60% 40%, and the final odds 80% 20%.

I bet at 60-40 and paid with 80-20 odds. Doesn't make any sense. I wouldn't have bet at those odds because the amount/reward was not worth it

How did mises.org publish that garbage of an article? Weird...

"the negative side [...] Devaluation to 975 pesos from 322 to the dollar when he took office"

???

Devaluation? The previous government had fixed the exchange rate manually to an incredibly artificial low rate? Why do they keep calling it devaluation? He brought it closer to the real, market value.

Sure but you need to have them anyways in a bank. Bank A or Bank B, they're all at risk in that sense. This doesn't change that equation, I might as well have my TBill yields be converted automatically into ₿.

Genius! I wish we had access to something like that in my country.

You could see the total volume previously.

Lost the status page, but it would be cool to see the total invested in each prediction, like you could before (both in sats and as USD, otherwise I need to keep googling for the converter)

Cool, what guarantees are there that the owner of bitcoinprediction.info doesn't simply run away with the money? and doesn't pay winners?

If you're a Bitcoiner, you believe in Sovereignty.

To be a Sovereign Individual, you need a Sovereign Nation.

To keep your nation Sovereign, you need to fight off your invaders.

I personally donated to the 22nd Mechanized Brigade via ₿ : https://donorbox.org/22nd_brigade

Why would that be? Hackers will most likely dump them in the market, collapsing the price.

Would you have approached the Blocksize War differently in hindsight?

He's a scam artist. Always has been.