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25 sats \ 1 reply \ @Solomonsatoshi 5h \ parent \ on: The Economics of Dating that Ruined a Generation econ
Thank you for considering my arguments and providing some perfectly reasonable critical responses.
Firstly Israel and I want to emphasize on this topic I am much less confident and more speaking on gut feeling than any deep knowledge- with that said I see Israel as a Jewish state and I see Jews as highly skilled due to for many centuries having no nation state base but instead reliant upon skills. Jews have excelled in banking because of their exemption from Christian and Muslim sanctions on usury. Jewish bankers financed the powers of Europe - Hitler took them on and lost. Jewish bankers own the US government.
So my guess is China will not be willing to be subservient to Jewish usury like most western powers have been for the last 500 years. The current power struggle between China and US leaves the Jews and Israel at risk of losing their military proxy-puppet, USA.
China has backed Iran and Iran has financed the range of military forces who seek to confront Israel. Israel has shown great skill and ingenuity and needs to assert itself more as US power declines.
China may not exert its dominance in the same way as western imperialists have- for one thing it will not be backed by Jewish bankers.
China has historically expected tribute and subservience from neighbouring countries but also left them to govern their people in their way.
Modern China appears to be similarly a mercantile power- interested mostly in trade and exchange, not military conquest and subjugation.
China and the Jews both believe their culture is inherently superior to all others- traditionally China believed the further you are from the Middle Kingdom, the less civilised and more sub human you will be.
The Jews believe they are Gods chosen people.
Both cultures assumption of superiority naturally provokes dislike from other cultures...but their cultural arrogance has endured, where many other cultures have been subjugated and/or withered and died.
Chinese demographics- China could impose the one child policy which both enabled the early stages of modernisation but also went on too long creating an imminent workforce deficit. But China now leads the world in robotics and other high tech labour saving applications. China is also raising the age of retirement from 50 to 55 for woman and 55 to 60 for men. Retirement entitlements in China are lower than in the west but also not such a burden on the state and the state provision of health care is extremely efficient and cost effective.
Most western nations are not replacing their populations internally but are increasingly reliant upon imported labour to sustain economy/GDP but there are problems with that especially if you enter conflict with other nations - how will the predominance of Chinese technicians in US universities and tech firms go as the trade war escalates? Cultural unity and self reliance can be a significant advantage in times of war. Diversity is often not.
China is not Japan- Japan has since WW2 been a military and monetary tribute state to the US. When in the 1980s Japan looked like it might challenge US wealth the US demanded changes to the Japanese monetary system and economy that threw Japan into the permanent stagflation it has been ever since.
Chinas entire process of development since WW2 has been to insist upon its right to true sovereignty on all levels. Initially the US did not recognise the PRC. China gained nuclear weapons and prevented the CIA from seizing the strategic military high ground of Tibet while also pushing back the US takeover of Korea where US troops replaced Japanese troops who had been occupying Korea through WW2.
The threat of US infringement upon China was successfully used by Mao to strengthen the post war fragile unity in China under the CCP.
Chinese have not forgotten the humiliation of The Opium Wars and the hundred years of humiliation that followed. Few westerners understand the importance of this.
If you want to understand China today start with the Opium Wars and read on through the 100 years of humiliation right through to Japanese Invasion and the Nanjing Massacre and through to the CCP seizing power immediately after the nuclear bombs were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
China since WW2 has fought to assert its right to self determination- and unlike almost all other nations, has succeeded.
Japan, S.Korea, Canada, Britain, the EU, Australasia are all monetarly and militarily subservient tribute states to the USA.
China is the first, since 2016, nation on the IMFs board of reserve currency issuers, not to be a tribute state to the USA.
Monetary and military power structures are highly aligned.
CCP ideology is inherently opposed to Bitcoin- Bitcoin being a model of money that gives the individual greater monetary power and autonomy but which by so doing reduces the states ability to leverage the populations savings.
From Chinas point of view the need to be able to collectivise and project power (including monetary power) is fundamental to its core project of insisting upon the right to self determination. China has generally applied fiat monetary leverage with significantly greater skill and discipline to the west in recent decades...using it mostly to build productive economic infrastructure and capacity.
Their CBDC is probably the most advanced one in operation and dovetails into mBridge and CIPS and the overall project of building an alternative to the SWIFT hegemony of the US.
Trumps tilt toward stablecoins may force them to rethink but neither side is seriously considering allowing Bitcoin for international trade settlement.
Trumps crypto projects look more like Britains Second Empire...a means of secreting wealth as the empire declines.
https://vimeo.com/290438534
Thank you for the thoughtful response. I will think over what you wrote for a while. I suspect that the US saw China as Japan 2.0 when they allowed them in the WTO or whatever Nixon did. I.e. produce cheap goods for the US market to help keep a lid on inflation back home knowing China would have no choice but to cycle their surplus back into USTs anyway so effectively a vassal state paying tribute via the petrodollar system. And that's because of the deal with the Saudis of course and anyone who wants energy needs to pay in dollars, and I strongly suspect a nuclear armed Israel in the region strongly helps with keeping the Saudis honest in keeping up their end of the bargain. And, yes. I get Jewish control of the USG and international finance. So Israeli interests benefit from the "security arrangement" part of the petrodollar deal but also at the money laundering stage as Saudi billionaire princes manage their fortunes through London and New York. So that's a lot of incentives for a lot of powerful and influential interests to maintain the status quo.
At the same time I hear your point about China doing a good job to maintain its sovereignty. It's certainly done that with tech and done a great job to protect its own domestic players and keep the US Big Tech firms/ CIA out of running their psyops in China. Japan, in contrast, has globohomo and other US propaganda pumped through Twitter/Instagram/Facebook/YouTube to their citizenry 24/7.
But, it's all about the currency, right? That and energy security. I get that China is aligned with Iran and Russia and as those two are energy exporters there is a shot there to create an alternative energy/currency network. But, again, back to the US armed forced and Israel and bombing of Iran, the Ukraine war, etc., and we can see that the US and Israel are not going to allow other mobs to freely trade energy (in currencies other than the USD) in areas their missiles can reach (i.e. anywhere).
And, yes, I do think stablecoins are a huge factor here. The world wants digital dollars, that much is clear now. Embracing Tether is a really smart move. UST could dollarize the entire globe bottom up as everyone with a smart phone from the Manilla to Buenos Aires has their life savings in dollars in a wallet that can't be surveiled or seized (without the cooperation of the US regime). And, sure, they take a 10% haircut YoY through debasement but they don't know that and anyway it beats whatever local fiat shitcoin they would otherwise have to use. (Or worse, I read that Turks "save" by buying white goods i.e. refrigerators). I think stablecoins could indirectly fund (via exporting inflation to 8 billion people) the US empire for another 100 years.
But, there are a lot of potential surprises too. 1000 dollars of drone swarms blowing up billion USD carriers, for example. That is why the Ukraine conflict is such a big deal. It's the major powers experimenting with all of the new tech.
We are certainly living in "interesting times". It's why I like your posts. You seem very aware of what's at stake here.
But as for taking down the US/Israel... Let's just say I certainly don't have the heart for that fight. Do the Chinese really know what they're getting into? As they say, if you go at the king, you'd best not miss....
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