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Do we know for sure Khamanei wasn't sold out too?
I don't know that he wasn't, but this already went much less smoothly than Venezuela.
My understanding is that the Iranian military is structurally decentralized and that it answered to someone else, anyway.
It seems to me like they're striking at neighbors who are collaborators with the US/Israel.
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It seems to me like they're striking at neighbors who are collaborators with the US/Israel.
Right, but it's the lack of strategic purpose that suggests certain elements may be rogue. Like the attack on Turkey, for example.
But you're right, this is already way messier than Venezuela, and for how much the MAGA base hates refugee-driven immigration, this is going to create another swell of that.
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Two things to consider:
- There may be strategic significance to targets that we aren't aware of
- There will be some number of false flags that wouldn't make strategic sense for Iran
Do we know for sure Khamanei wasn't sold out too?
I read that US handed Israel a no-kill list of people within the regime. Which suggests the possibility that there is a US friendly contingent, maybe able to take power.
I also read that Khameni left the military with standing orders to retaliate on their own if the chain of command were to break.
I think these two facts are pretty plausible explanations of the observable data, including rocket attacks on Arab neighbors that don't seem to have much strategic purpose.
If both claims are true, it would suggest that there is a power struggle internally, and whoever comes out on top will determine the course of the war and of Iran.