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“Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz,” Trump said in a post to his social media platform Truth Social.

'US’s announcement that its military would blockade the Strait of Hormuz was welcomed by Netanyahu, but others in Israel have put that in doubt.

Danny Citrinowicz, the former head of the Iran desk in the Israeli Military Intelligence said that what couldn’t be achieved during five weeks of war won’t be achieved by imposing a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz.

Moshe Yaalon, the former Israeli security minister, said that none of the objectives of the war were achieved in over 40 days of fighting and that Iran may now well conclude that acquiring a nuclear weapon is essential.'

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/13/iran-war-live-us-military-to-block-iranian-port-traffic-in-hormuz-strait

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It sure looks like high oil prices are the goal

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It also seems like the goal is to cement a hard-left sweep in mid-terms.

Vance (who is no savior either) now looks like a failure due to inability to reach solution. Policy wonks will claim reasons why 'US holds the upper hand, etc' - but they ignore the bigger picture of high gas prices.

The 'blockade' itself, is going to be a disaster. Lets assume China strikes deal with Iran to let its ships pass, what is the US going to do? Sink Chinese ships??

Trump negotiated himself into a Lose-Lose situation.....The choice the Israel first team in Whitehouse has gotten themselves into is: High gas prices + demand inflation + higher interest rates + stock price collapse OR WW3

The public wants neither.

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Yeah, the lack of concern for public opinion makes me wonder if they have something planned for the elections along the lines of restricting voting dramatically compared to the recent past.

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I dont think they have any sort of plan. They are winging it day by day and always keep doubling down on whatever the dumbest solution is....

Hard to admit, but I had high hopes for Trump admin. The only solution I really see is for Trump to throw everyone under the bus and claim his advisors lied to him....then simply withdraw from the region and let Israel deal with consequences. I'd rate that outcome as pretty low though....

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I guess I don't mean it's a coordinated plan, more that they are less concerned than you'd expect because they know there will be fewer eligible Democrat voters.

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Restricting voting to actual citizens and ending the whole "mail in ballots" facade would be good in general, but I don't really think thats enough.

I think Trump voters are now split into 3 camps: (a) See this as a disaster, sizable portion will sit out election, (b) Will actively vote democrat, (c) MAGA truth social hardcores will still vote R, but numbers aren't enough.

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The A and B camps have been exaggerated by doomers and the opposition since he came down the escalater. Literally every week for the past 10 years Trump has said or done something to annoy those people. And what happened when the anti-Trump crowd won out? Russia invaded Ukraine and we got 4 years of open borders, vaccine mandates, welfare fraud, and all the usual blue team shit. For nothing.

Political game theory predicts that the most extreme wing of the party accomplishes the most for the platform. That's just how the numbers play out. Democrats don't differentiate between C and moderates. They'd throw all of us in jail. So everyone has to line up with C for the time being or the country becomes California, a second Europe, a failed state.

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I see it the same way

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15 sats \ 0 replies \ @Yermin 12 Apr -21 sats

This isn’t random or “winging it.” The mechanism is explicit.

The SAVE Act shifts registration from eligibility → documentary proof at registration (no document — including mismatches like maiden names — → no processed registration)

Then the draft EO extends it using its own words:

“unusual and extraordinary threat”

→ trigger national emergency powers

“supersede any conflicting provisions of federal law”

→ shift control from statutes → executive assertion

Now layer the system:
Federal data (DHS/SSA) → DOJ enforcement → USPS ballot control

Full chain:
Eligibility → Documents → Registration constraint →
Federal data → Enforcement → Ballot pipeline control

You don’t need to “restrict voting” at the ballot box
if you control who exists in the system upstream.

Same mechanism already tested (Kansas blocked ~31k registrations before courts shut it down)

This isn’t turnout.
It’s control of inputs + asserted authority to override constraints.

Links (receipts):
https://stacker.news/items/1463160/r/Yermin
https://stacker.news/items/1459768/r/Yermin
https://stacker.news/items/1457923/r/Yermin
https://stacker.news/items/1454203/r/Yermin
https://stacker.news/items/1444926/r/Yermin

Removing mines, escorting ships while preventing smuggling by others, to ensure freedom of navigation, is the whole point of having a Navy.

Trump negotiated himself into a Lose-Lose situation

Yea, I'm sure you got all the top level classified intel, he should have called you first.

Panicans couldn't sound any dumber but keep trying...

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to ensure freedom of navigation

I'm sure those ships being theatened with being indicted ferrying oil to Phillippines are feeling the freedom.

Nothing new, righteous or glamourous about protection rackets. Millenia old.

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You mean ones that paid into enabling the coercion of others

righteous or glamourous

He wrote obtusely from the security of the citadel

Millenia old.

Some might call that "Lindy"

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The petro dollar system based entirely on coercion.

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Stunning observation, as if every other fiat isn't.

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Nearly all other fiat currencies are issued by countries militarily and monetarily subservient to the USA.
USD petrodollar hegemony is global.
Most other fiats are subservient to it.
That is the difference you are obfuscating over.
The Fed Res is owned by Zionist Bankers.
USA is being exposed as the military proxy to Zionist Zealot Bankers that it has been since December 23, 1913.

I know the simple explanation is that the U.S. is a huge oil producer and will benefit from higher prices, but the U.S. consumer will deal with even more inflation, no?

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Yes, higher prices but also gains from increased economic activity in our oil sector.

Other countries don't get that increased economic activity, so it's more likely that high oil prices will push them into recessions.

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49 sats \ 2 replies \ @398ja 13 Apr

What if China retaliates with an export ban of rare earth minerals? This seems to me to be the logical next step. I mean, the rest of the world is not going to sit back and just watch their economies be driven into a recession...

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Totally plausible. I’m only commenting on the dynamic wrt oil.

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China has already banned rare earths exports to any buyer even remotely related to US military.
Any exports currently are strictly vetted to ensure they do not have any military end use.
The ability of the US military to build new war materiel is already considerably constrained.

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america has become oil and gas exporteur. So it makes sense.
The US fracking industry was nearly dead and now is exporting lng to europe. Imagine the friction in fracking, loading on special ships, shipping across the world, build a plant on both sides, one for liquefying gas, and on the other side, facilities for converting the liquefied gas back into gaseous form.
Meanwhile russian gas that was transportet by a pipeline with nearly no friction is burned in russia because it is a nearly worthless byproduct when you extraxt oil. And then they tell you that carbon emissions are bad and you have to pay tax.
It is only geo politics of petrodollar and zionism why US is attacking iran

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I agree. Hobbling Middle East producers and Russian infrastructure, while confiscating Venezuela's supply, leaves the US as the main beneficiaries of high prices and the rest of the world more worse off than America.

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Great way to boost Texas and nerf California, too

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Good point. I'm not sure whether it's mostly better for purple areas, though.

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*The Straight of America

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Haha.

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Zohreh Kharazmi, associate professor at the University of Tehran, says Iranian forces will fight back against any US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

“This is not the first time,” she said, pointing to 1953, when the United Kingdom responded to the nationalisation of Iranian oil by Mohammed Mossadegh, Iran’s democratically elected prime minister, in a similar way.

He was who subsequently overthrown in a CIA and MI6-backed coup.

“This kind of imperial show of power, trying to dictate to others, is something very familiar to Iranians,” Kharazmi said.

Iran’s control over the strait, she added, carried a deeper significance. Similar to Egypt’s decision to nationalise the Suez Canal in 1956 to break the UK and France’s control over the waterway, Iran’s assertion of control over Hormuz “gives a sense of honour that Iran has made a sovereign decision over its own territorial waters”, she said.

Kharazmi noted that Iranians have fought against the US military in the air and on the ground. “The naval dimension is no exception,” she said, adding that reaching naval vessels may be easier than targeting an F-35.

Kharazmi also raised the possibility of Chinese intervention, saying China “may choose to escort its ships, that would put the United States and China in direct confrontation”. Iran, she noted, had also threatened to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait to the Red Sea off the coast of Yemen.

“If this blockade becomes a contest between the resilience of the Islamic Republic and the resilience of global markets, it will not take long to see who is losing,” she said. “Technically, they cannot control the situation. With Hollywood-style strategies, they cannot prevail in this battleground.”

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22 sats \ 1 reply \ @398ja 13 Apr

China can retaliate with a ban of the export of rare earth minerals to the US.

And yes, China may also decide to escort their tankers. Russia does it already with Cuba, I think.

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There is also the new railway linking Tehran with China...
Opened in 2025.
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/05/31/748978/Role-of-new-Iran-China-rail-line-in-global-order

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that would put the United States and China in direct confrontation

Do it.

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Are you sure?
US military dont have many interceptors left and you cant make anymore without rare earths.

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Are you sure? How badly do you need Iranian oil?

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The US is a rogue state captured by anti-communist insurgents with a warlord allied to a government-in-exile. We're not counting interceptors. Liberty or death, do not tread, etc.

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First lesson when you find yourself in a hole. Stop digging.

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The most powerful pensioner in the world is just about to block the Strait of Hormuz, which he has been trying to open for several weeks. 🤡🤡🤡

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Or so we were led to believe 😀

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Did he buy oil futures Friday?

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No doubt.

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'The UK is one of the US’s closest allies; it is also one of the first countries to publicly confirm it will not participate in President Trump’s proposed blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

He’s been working closely with his French counterpart to host talks with dozens of countries about non-military means of re-opening the Strait of Hormuz.

That stance of the UK has really drawn quite a bit of ire from the White House.'

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/12/iran-war-live-historic-face-to-face-talks-with-us-continue-in-islamabad

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Trumps response to China cutting supply of rare earths to US military is cutting off Chinas supply of oil.
Petrodollar vs Rare Earths.
Meeting with Xi will be delayed until this is settled.

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We have plenty of rare earths in Greenland.

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Now extract and refine them...it will take a decade and several trillion in subsidies.

Until then the US military industrial complex cannot manufacture most of its high tech war materiel.

Iran has no problem building more drones and missiles with supplies from China.

Good luck with your last ditch effort to assert US hegemony...you are running out of interceptors.

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We don't know if Iran will exist in the future. They can't defend their airspace. A few more war crimes and everyone is dead. We don't need to intercept shit. We could strike the oil rigs and leave.

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Genocide 90 million people.
Show your true self for the world to see.

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And New Zealand is just letting it happen.

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Hell yeah.
Just watching on in horror like most other countries.
We don't want any part in your war crimes.

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Good deal. The communists get kicked off the map, and you get offended.

I believe this is just another one of Trump's strategies to stay in the public eye. Beyond the economic aspect, the price of oil remains highly volatile, or am I mistaken?

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37 sats \ 1 reply \ @BITC0IN 12 Apr

What

The Actual

FUCK IS GOING ON

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USA lost the trade war.
China has ceased supply of refined rare earths to the US military industrial complex.
USA is unable to make most of its high tech weaponry without refined rare earths.
Trumps response is to attack Chinas energy supplies and reassert the petrodollar before losing the ability to do so.
China is the biggest trade partner for most gulf nations and most have already joined mBridge and BRICS.
Trump is defending his declining empire against Chinas expansion.
This is WW3.

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Definitivelly there is a lot of contradictory messages between two partisants.

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whatever happens we pay the bill

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The petrodollar is an extraordinary privilege but does come at a cost ultimately.

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an extraordinary priviledge for whom?

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For USA...although it can be argued it has a corrupting effect in the long run making it too easy to consume beyond your means and ending up un-competitive and in huge debt.

Power corrupts.

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Yes, that's the reality

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45 sats \ 2 replies \ @398ja 12 Apr

It seems that in an attempt not to lose face, the US gov is acting even more irrationally. I mean, If closing the strait was bad already, isn't the blockade going to make it even worse?

Khomeni...dead

pretty sure he died more than 30 years ago

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Guess them too need some hard money in the coffers. ~lol

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Ha! Imagine that. He'll probably insist on using one of his meme coins.

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Hmmm, that's a serious but not hilarious issue at hand. He should think more of the people.

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