pull down to refresh

The weird ways prediction markets determine truth (When is a suit not a suit?)www.economist.com/podcasts/2026/11/07/when-is-a-suit-not-a-suit?taid=6aeef32353d11a0001a8a80c
391 sats \ 1 comment \ @zuspotirko 3h Education ideasfromtheedge
related
Prediction Markets Predicting Markets or MAKING them? (Bloomberg, Matt Levine)news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/matt-levines-money-stuff-dont-free-little-joe
1718 sats \ 15 comments \ @denlillaapan 20 May econ
Prediction Markets and Reality: Predicting or Making the Weather? (Matt Levine)www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-04-23/traders-do-something-about-the-weather
1294 sats \ 5 comments \ @denlillaapan 23 Apr econ
Election Times: Prediction Markets and Polls, What's Better? (Bloomberg)www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-31/why-kalshi-polymarket-odds-don-t-mimic-midterm-elections-2026-polls
585 sats \ 5 comments \ @denlillaapan 1 Nov trading Politics_And_Law econ
Prediction Markets Suck
1354 sats \ 11 comments \ @futarchyfan 5 Apr tech
Predicting our own demise - Agustin Lebronreducibleerrors.com/prediction-markets/
827 sats \ 5 comments \ @Scoresby 25 Aug 2025 econ
Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of Crowds (FT, Neal Kumar, CLO of Polymarket)www.ft.com/content/fe498dec-e444-4140-a3c1-7ff32ce18f49
1140 sats \ 5 comments \ @denlillaapan 5 Oct Politics_And_Law econ
Prediction Markets and the Wisdom/Madness of Crowds (FT, Michael Mauboussin)www.ft.com/content/88485f17-cb90-46cc-a302-6c87b29622c1
1687 sats \ 8 comments \ @denlillaapan 10 Oct Politics_And_Law Stacker_Stocks econ
Prediction Markets Are Oh-So Dangerous (FT, David Booth)www.ft.com/content/34a0b3fa-1cd4-4743-8e28-3996836610ca
1558 sats \ 9 comments \ @denlillaapan 4 Nov trading Stacker_Stocks econ
Prediction Markets Are How We Know What We Know (Bloomberg, Christopher Beam)www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-06-30/kalshi-s-polymarket-s-successes-worry-longtime-prediction-market-bettors
1722 sats \ 3 comments \ @denlillaapan 2 Jul Stacker_Sports Politics_And_Law econ
Prediction markets work: a story behind 30M betx.com/mbateman/status/1854278584338436386
1135 sats \ 1 comment \ @035ff95366 7 Nov 2024 bitcoin
Why prediction markets aren’t popularworksinprogress.co/issue/why-prediction-markets-arent-popular/
3113 sats \ 22 comments \ @k00b 23 Jan 2025 oracle
Prediction Markets Are All Zero-Sum Grift (Matt Levine, Money Stuff)www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-04-28/the-robots-make-the-predictions
1157 sats \ 23 comments \ @denlillaapan 28 Apr Stacker_Sports econ
Prediction Markets Are Good Consumer Products (Money Stuff, Matt Levine)www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-11-04/the-midterm-predictions-were-good
1155 sats \ 5 comments \ @denlillaapan 4 Nov BooksAndArticles HealthAndFitness econ
My Week Trying to Get Rich on Prediction Markets (TFP, Joe Nocera)www.thefp.com/p/kalshi-prediction-markets-week-experiment
1903 sats \ 18 comments \ @denlillaapan 16 Jun Politics_And_Law econ
prediction markets aren't just gamblingwww.youtube.com/watch?v=Gq3v-Y6cvLI
1513 sats \ 12 comments \ @south_korea_ln 17 Dec 2025 oracle
Who Made Madam Toothfairy Make Sense?! FT's Katie Martin on Prediction Marketswww.ft.com/content/77a62c1a-b05e-4846-b20e-5bfe9f410a07?syn-25a6b1a6=1
1228 sats \ 2 comments \ @denlillaapan 13 Jul Politics_And_Law econ
The Social Value of Prediction Markets (TDE, Joakim Book)thedailyeconomy.org/article/put-money-on-it-the-social-value-of-prediction-markets/
2245 sats \ 11 comments \ @denlillaapan 28 Aug the_stacker_muse BooksAndArticles econ
Money is the Moderator for Election Markets Too. Duh. (Bloomberg, Ella Feldman)www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-20/how-prediction-markets-upstaged-election-polls
7588 sats \ 3 comments \ @denlillaapan 21 Sep Politics_And_Law econ
Welcome to OVER/UNDER! (The Atlantic, Will Gottsegen)www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/2026/10/welcome-over-under-gambling-prediction-markets/688991/
2038 sats \ 12 comments \ @denlillaapan 15 Oct BooksAndArticles econ
You Won't Believe What This Tradfi Journo Said About Prediction Markets (FT)www.ft.com/content/155c520f-cecc-4de2-8816-0728e66e2054
1577 sats \ 8 comments \ @denlillaapan 23 Jul Politics_And_Law econ
Prediction Markets as Falsehood Machines (Money Stuff, Matt Levine)www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-07-06/untruth-machines
1958 sats \ 15 comments \ @denlillaapan 6 Jul Politics_And_Law econ