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Likely to fail, would have been better.
Why is it likely to fail then?
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Because network effects are hard and usurping the network effects of existing players with a more difficult to use option is even harder.
Most people don't care about centralization or data privacy. Is that stupid, yes. Will they need to learn the hard way, yes.
I am hopeful. Things have gone better than I expected, which is why I am slowly changing my perspective.
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Very possible that it fails but also possible it doesn't. I pretty much agree with you on Nostr. Thing is... it doesn't have to be adopted by everyone that is using social media now. It will be successful IMO if it works for the people that see the value. I despise this defeatist attitude about companies like FB, Google, and TicTok. We are so short sighted. I can see these companies failing or at least losing their market share. Maybe not in the short term but I believe it will happen.
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