Federated solutions will become popular for this reason in addition to privacy, improved security (for some), and other features. Examples include cashu https://cashu.space/ and Fedimint https://fedimint.org/.

Good question. People are working on it:

Solution is simple, there is a new payment technology very similar to Bitcoin and LN (it's backed by blockchain tech!!!) called CDBC or something like that, they say it will be very scalable and everybody will use it.

Well everybody, I mean, except criminals or those fringe lunatics that don't want to show their ID when paying

Hosted Channels

Most of newcomers will use of custodial LN wallets. And that's the proof why:

And all this above - regardless of endless warnings: "Not your keys, not your Bitcoin."

Don't expect that tilting at such windmills - is our biggest problem to solve and try to fixing it will be in any way successful. Of course will not - just due to human nature.

You can change human nature only a bit. And only by greed or by fear. Period. ;)

I was also thinking that if the s/vB keep increasing and then also the price of BTC will keep increasing, then soon we are like on ethereum where the gas fees are just crazy high. Let's hope LN will take care of it.

Like now, we'll all have several solutions for different uses cases.

Here I wrote 2 guides for all those concerned that we will not see "mass adoption".

Burak seems to have a solution: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8PeaQCfFaU . But I have almost no idea what is he talking about, except that somehow multiple people will own portion of 1 UTXO.

Fedi is one possible solution to this as well

covenants!

As I always said in all my guides: be prepared with a good amount of liquidity in your LN channels/nodes, for the time that will come when onchain will be used exclusively for opening/closing channels.

Only few people listened my advice and those who didn't listen, now they are crying...

Mass adoption is not bottleneck because of lack of users opening channels, or there are not enough simple apps for normies. Is because people are still not well educated how to use Bitcoin and what the fuck is Bitcoin. People still think is an "asset" or a speculation trading shit....

Personally, with the tech we have now I don't see everyone ever being non-custodial with their payment funds, you can with your on chain savings, but the way LN is set up, I don't see why many would opt for non-custodial, what I hope is that with things like fedi/cashu/hosted channels we might see "local banks" pop up it could be a set of businesses that run it because they faciliate payments for their busienss

trust isn't always a bad thing, I remember growing up I could go to the corner store and buy something without cash and just put my name down in the book and the store owner knew everyone in the area so he would offer the service to people he knew and we settled up when you get paid and it worked for him

He moved stock, all he had to do was balance his float, granted inflation wasn't as high as it is today so it was easier to do this but under a bitcoin standard I think things like this can come back

how does SN scale its LN interface

i mean if SN can do it

Others can

But i could be wrong

You pay an opening fee, like XRP for example, that in a non custodial environment, you can always start custodial and migrate later . (I’m a custodial maximalist but that’s a possibility).

How hard can it be to make a simple wallet? Someone sends you a satsoshi and you get it? why can't the custodian just show the pledge as an address? let it be seen!? that would work))) for small amounts.