Calpers is in deep trouble. Any of the State pensions systems are suspect, since they are underfunded. I would say state municipal are the most vulnerable, then private, depending on the company.
I agree. New tech tends to go into a bubble, even if it is ultimately promising. It's really hard to forecast nonlinear phenomena like technology growth and adoption.
I’m guessing that in this environment rates would remain high until something breaks (like the job market, or systemic bank failures or something…kinda like what could happen soon even if we don’t go to war)