I do find the Fourth Turning idea interesting and I think there's something to it. 

Undisciplined

Thanks! Yeah that's fair, vague predictions are hard to disprove, but I'm impressed that they went as far to predict the timing of "The Fourth Turning" rather than to just say "sometime in the future".

I'm not sure they got it right, but would be cool to hear from Neil today.

BooksAndArticles

The Fourth Turning - 27 Years Later

Welcome back!

Honestly, those predictions don’t seem that impressive. They’re pretty vague, so you can read into them what you want. 

2005 wasn’t that long after the book and it’s not all that close to a major event, relative to the distance from 1997. 

Obviously, it’s too soon to say if we’re going through a major historical moment right now. If so, the authors will deserve a lot of credit. 