I predict that the number of stacker news items between this post and the previous years predictions post will be smaller than the number of stacker news items between this post and next years predictions post.
In other words, we’ll see an increase in stacker news items YoY
=> if SN reaches item number 1,289,651 in 2025, there have been as many items in 2025 as in 2024.
To have a nice question for the market and make it a little more exciting) I would add 25% of 450k as a buffer and round the number. So market question should be:
Will Stacker News reach item number 1,400,000 in 2025?
Resolution critera:
If Stacker News reaches item number 1,400,000 before 2026-01-01, the market resolves to yes, else no.
Twitter (now x.com) will announce its own email service.
Major Terrorist attacks and attempts on United States of America and Europe, which will lead USA to step in again and launch an aggressive Global war against terrorism.
China's gonna apply/force all its laws and policies from the mainland on Hong Kong.
The government of Taiwan may collapse due to the rising influence of China, or at the very least, they’re going to face challenges ahead.
the best of all trends is that Stackers new grows and strengthens and becomes a great field of knowledge, exchange and why not, of sats cultivation for every person who knows the platform and is interested in it. everything else is secondary. sats for everyone.
People stop putting their fate into political clowns and instead take ownership of their existence and fight for their freedom... lol who are we kidding its not happening
I predict that the number of stacker news items between this post and the previous years predictions post will be smaller than the number of stacker news items between this post and next years predictions post.
In other words, we’ll see an increase in stacker news items YoY
Hm, being consistent (or perhaps hedging myself) I should make the opposite prediction here.
How do we go about making that bet?
I can create a market for it on https://beta.predyx.com
Please give me the concise market question and resolution criteria.
There will be more than 458,154 items (posts and comments combined) created on stacker news in 2025
I think an absolute number will make it easier for stackers to keep track of progress and thus trade in the market. Here's the data:
=> if SN reaches item number 1,289,651 in 2025, there have been as many items in 2025 as in 2024.
To have a nice question for the market and make it a little more exciting) I would add 25% of 450k as a buffer and round the number. So market question should be:
Resolution critera:
Sounds good?
Thanks for framing the question. Here's the market for you: https://beta.predyx.com/market/stacker-news-hit-14m-items-in-2025
done, and betted -- thank you!
awesome! Thanks
Ask @mega_dreamer if he wants to create a PM for this lol
PM = prediction market, for the uninitiated
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Perhaps more people joining because Bitcoin is being hyped, and then they want to farm sats
or it's all bots and ai agents.
Dead Internet TheoryDead Internet Theory
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Wait why delete later?
Some stackers don’t like to leave a permanent trail
2024 prediction failed - #373731
I'm ready to make new ones.
Q1: one big european country implement Bitcoin standard
Q2: America create bitcoin strategic reserve and twitter add lightning network to their payment system
Q3: people who were afraid about "America may ban bitcoin", get its confidence and decide to acquire first 300k sats
Q4: we're getting ready to celebrate Christmas and New Year, sats become 12x valuable in $ terms
p.s. throughout the year war in my country should be ended
I truly hope so. Wish you the best~~
21 million thanks to you
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SpaceX will announce a moon colony.
This will happen? Their major focus is on Starlink this time.
No, I think their major focus is to make life multiplanetary. Starlink is just how they are funding that goal.
My predictions are pretty fancy 😂
1.Household robots will handle chores like cleaning and cooking.
2.3D-printed buildings will become more common
3.Sam Altman announcing ChatGPT-5 and also with a complete structural change in Open AI.
4.Holographic calls will become a reality.
5.Lab grown meat will be widely available
6.AI tutors will provide personalized learning assistance
7.Virtual fitting rooms will allow customers to try on clothes digitally before making purchases (Amazon and Google are already doing it)
8.Remote work will become a permanent fixture.
9.BRICS nations will announce its own currency like Euro.
I have more in my list.
Ok, none of these are formatted as a proper predictions: They're formulated too vague or too unverifiable.
i.e. "authority of dollar will be in threat" should be dollar dominance in FX trade (or central bank balance sheets) falls below 80% (50%)
You're right, but I already mentioned that my predictions are a bit fanciful. Should I delete it?
Nah, just reformulate them properly -- with numbers or events that could be falsifiable
The 49ers will return to greatness in the 2025 NFL season and finish with the number one overall seed in the NFC.
I think Trump will turn the existing US bitcoin into a reserve, but not add any more.
I think Bitcoin will hit ~200k
At least 1 more major US company will add bitcoin to its portfolio.
At least 1 more smaller country will follow El Salvadors bitcoin strategy.
i preduct that bitcoin will contine to melt faces and buttcoiners will double down on being salty losers
The salty tears of unfathomable sadness. Mm, so yummy and sweet!
I become the best version of myself ever. Full stop!
Trump can disappointed Bitcoiners not doing Strategy Bitcoin Reserve.
This is not a prediction: can makes this a nonsense sentence
I think he's going to do it, but he's just going to announce the stack that was seized.
Everything is possible. Politics are master in to be liar
Nostr daily active users reach 40k
Bitcoin USD price hits 200k
ECB will be bankrupt. 😜
I predict Stacker News will at least 10x in active users.
@remindme in 1 year
the best of all trends is that Stackers new grows and strengthens and becomes a great field of knowledge, exchange and why not, of sats cultivation for every person who knows the platform and is interested in it. everything else is secondary. sats for everyone.
Trump will pardon Ross Ulbricht... or will not?
In my opinion, regarding predictions, maybe the price of Bitcoin will rise higher, and it will become more difficult to mine.
As I said on #817511:
People stop putting their fate into political clowns and instead take ownership of their existence and fight for their freedom... lol who are we kidding its not happening
$500K per bitcoin by Christmas 2025
The Bitcoin Strategic Reserve won't happen.