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There's a thing I do sometimes.
I write for a living, and I'm an avid(-ish) reader (#838984). My professional interests are in economic and financial history, so I usually keep a tab on what's new in those fields. I also follow some general energy/politics/environmentalism/financials/psychology and definitely bitcoin—especially given that I review books for Bitcoin Magazine and thus always need to know what's in the pipeline.
Anyway, there are certain authors and publishers I check in with now and again. For publishers, it's usually enough to scan their monthly newsletters for interesting titles, and for individual authors just check their Twitter or search their names on Amazon. Listening/watching podcasts, too, is pretty rewarding, since academics or writers will just say openly what they're working on! :)
Now, Vaclav Smil is a Czech-Canadian physicist who might be the must astonishing intellectual/academic type I know of. He grew up in Czech Republic under Soviet rule and studied natural sciences, didn't join the Communist party and was thus pretty shunned from any meaningful career. In 1969 he left Czechoslovakia, went to the U.S., and studied geography at Penn State Uni. After graduating with a PhD, he took a job at University of Manitoba in Canada—and stayed put.
He might be the world's most effective science communicator.
I once looked at his publishing record, first in the bibliography of one of his books and then online. Scanning the page I remember thinking "wow, dude's published with all the big university presses—and basically every year since the 1990s."
Looking at his books, I counted 45—or a little over one a year since before most of us were born. What tha eff did you do last year?!
Anyway, checking my library I am the proud owner of six Smil books:
  • Invention and Innovation: A Brief History of Hype and Failure (2023)
  • Size: How It Explains the World (2023)
  • How the World Really Works: A Scientist's Guide to Our Past, Present and Future (2022).
  • Grand Transitions: How the Modern World Was Made (2021)
  • Numbers Don't Lie: 71 Things You Need to Know About The World_ (2020)
  • Energy and Civilization: A History (2017)
I've written about some of them (e.g., here or here or here), but the most impactful on my thinking have been about energy transitions, civilization, and how primary energy from fossil fuel just won't move much further down, no matter the language or policy efforts in politics:
What's so fascinating and wonderful about him is that he's respected (if not loved) by people from across the ideological spectrum. He has some wacky ideas about veganism (that I think he's mostly walked back...) but he more than makes up for that by his deeestruction of anti-fossil fuel crowd. My pet thesis for why, when the two sides of politics can't even agree on the color of the sky, is that he has consistently just spoken truth, regardless of who's in power or what the political winds have been.
Astonishing character.

I hadn't given much thought to Mr. Smil for a good few months, and thought I would check in on him. Turns out there were two titles I missed. Great.

In November, he published How to Feed the World: A Factful Guide.
Dude almost never gives interviews (here's an in-depth, and rare New Yorker feature from last year) and I've seen reports about him showing up to University meetings in Manitoba like once a decade. Doesn't own a phone, has no goddamn distractions, no social media lol! Coupled with an insane intellect and the result is _otherworldly productivity!
Dude's a fucking machine.
Also:
Dude's 81 years old.
At an age where most of us are lucky if we're not vegetables, our beloved Smil is cranking out high-quality scienc-y/world big-picture books. Fuck. Me.

I couldn't find much mention of him on SN (e.g., #757373). What's the Stackers' opinion on this, the world's most prolific and interesting intellectual?
Dude's have a website though. https://vaclavsmil.com/
I'm not much of a book worm but I'll try to hit summaries of his books. You got any links to them?
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Not off the top of my head. The new Yorker article I linked, perhaps—but it's kinda long
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Dude almost never gives interviews
Ain't got no time for interviews when you're publishing a book a year!!
Seriously, thanks for the writeup. I haven't read his work, but all the topics seem interesting. Has he ever talked about Bitcoin?
Agree about just telling the truth. I find that I'm able to communicate pretty well with both left and right because I tend to just focus on the truth (and how to get to it, and whether you really have it) A lot of "oh, interesting, how did you know that?" and "oh, but i've heard people say this, how would you respond to it?"
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Ain't got no time for interviews when you're publishing a book a year!!
I don't have time for your stupid questions, Mr. Journalist, don't waste my time with nonsense! I have good things to publish!
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my honest question would be how he manages to find an interesting topic for every year, and then get enough content to write a book worth reading every year.
Also, from now on, if someone does that, they'd just be accused of using AI. But since he's just now becoming 81, we can be 100% sure that at least someone typed it up. Perhaps he uses ghost writers? Idk
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I think it's really quite possible if you have very few other responsibilities or interests.
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hyperfocus on one thing, no distractions. Yeah, maybe
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Looks like I need to get myself an opinion on this guy
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NYT- 'When you talk about S.U.V.s and building bigger houses, you’re really talking about people’s consumption choices. Do you think changing those is an easier goal than decarbonizing?'
Vaclav Smil 'Well, we changed people’s consumption by letting them have their S.U.V.s. We can change people the other way. We could say, To save the planet people should drive smaller cars. If you drive a smaller car, you get a rebate. If you drive an S.U.V., you pay a surcharge. There are many ways to go around bringing rational goals.'
Smil acknowledges the problem of climate change- he is questioning the realism of the targets and means of achieving reductions- not the need for reductions.
Above Smil advocates rebates and other government funded incentives and directives to modify free market functioning.
Climate change denier Libertarians should acknowledge this.
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Vaclav is certainly not a climate change denier- instead he is a realist who recognises the duplicity and dishonesty of many, on both sides of the issue.
Vaclav Smil - 'Regrettably, we have largely ignored taking steps that could have limited the long-term impacts of climate change and that should have been taken even in the absence of any global warming concerns because they bring long-term savings and provide more comfort. And as if that were not enough, we have deliberately introduced and promoted the diffusion of new products and energy conversions that have boosted the consumption of fossil energies and hence further intensified CO2 emissions.'
Will climate change denier OP @denlillaapan acknowledge his academic hero Vaclav is not a climate change denier but instead a realist who simply acknowledges the failure of governments and societies to robustly and sufficiently TAKE ACTION on this VERY REAL threat to the biosphere?
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29 sats \ 0 replies \ @Fabs 10 Feb
Hm, the man definitely sounds interesting, I'll have to give his publishes a look.
Thank you kindly, colored primate. ❤️‍🔥
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Made me order How the World Really Works and Numbers Don't Lie! Not that I have time to read, but they will look good on the bookshelf...
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That's very true! Gotta make our bookshelves pretty
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18 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 10 Feb
Ah, the "How the World Really Works" guy. I remember it being pretty good.
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i bet if you send him a letter you'll start a great conversation with him
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In November, he published How to Feed the World: A Factful Guide.
I am really looking forward to getting my hands on this book! The title is so catchy and it's exactly the stuff I'm interested in!
Thanks for pointing out this literature!
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Interesting, thanks.
What's a good first book of his, to read?
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I'm biased, obvs, having only read some of his work: but Grand Transitions and Energy and Civilization were fucking AWESOME. Though dense af.
How the World Really Works might be an easier first-read
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Some people snagged early access to chatGPT. Honestly one of the worst and somehow also the best things for everyone in his profession. The advent of AI is really special because no one who infuses true value into their work will lose their job to a robot. Also, everyone who does not infuse true value will lose their job to a robot.
So you're going to see a handful of very prolific artists pop up here and there who will use AI to amplify the value of their work. If that's how Smil was able to have such a high output, it should be an inspiration to those who are intimidated by it. If not, i guess just be intimidated because 45+ is some next level stuff.
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TLDR Aardvark, and in a distant second place, Vaclav Smil
In all honesty though, what an interesting individual. No phone even and he's still publishing at 81? That guy loves what he does.
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Does he argue climate change is not a serious problem?
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No. At least, I would say he doesn’t. However, I haven’t read everything he has written. He is highly critical of all unrealistic expectations and measures proposed to 'fight' climate change, as discussed in How the World Really Works: A Scientist's Guide to Our Past, Present and Future.
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It is a dark prognosis that science can identify a threat such as climate change but our political - collective will to tackle it is not sufficient.
The short term interests/greed of merchants seem to over ride reason and long term best interests of humanity.
The markets do not solve all human problems and challenges.
Libertarians fall into denial and/or fatalism instead of proposing science based solutions. Climate change deniers obstruct the broad consensus that is required to tackle climate change.
It seems likely now that climate change could result in a new autocratic style of politics such as China operates- this could be the only way to impose the restrictions of free market greed that are required to logically respond to climate change - as liberal western 'democracies' (now in reality crony capitalist plutocracies) have failed.
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There are some places to look for views in dissent of the mainstream narrative about planetary climate, and you could start with this guy if you're interested in that:
Also, this guy talks about sea ice:
Or if you're interested in bitcoin topics more specifically, this guy often does rounds for diffusing the awkward climate conversation talking-points:
Here's another thing that I'm intrigued by, in terms of arguments in support of non-planetary reasons for temperature fluctuations through history:
I was an ecophiliac for a long time before I became skeptical of "the science" telling me how to shop and who to vote for
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Sounds like you are another reality denying climate change skeptic.
In stark contrast Vaclav Smil academic hero of @denlillaapan acknowledges the reality of climate change, but also recognises the inherent reluctance of many people to recognise it acknowledge it and act upon it in a responsible manner as people are often ignorant, misguided, short sighted and selfish...
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your profile states:
Interested in new ideas and positive people who are not afraid to face facts and engage in a robust contest of ideas.
Your framing of my position does not make you sound particularly positive, or interested in ideas that you're not committed to holding.
Are you an expert in these topics? Or are you parroting something you read somewhere? "climate change skeptic" is the sort of word-spell I've heard cast from the mouths of plenty of NPCs, so it doesn't really have the impact I think you're interested in having. But who knows what you're hoping to accomplish by name calling.
Moving on...
I'm not denying reality. I don't litter, in fact I carry bags around to pick trash up when I see it on the trail. I recycle batteries and dispose of my waste responsibly. I literally hug trees. I spend a lot of time out doors, and have visited more than 100 National Parks in the US... plus other beautiful natural spaces in other countries.
I do not have any doubt that the weather (and weather trends) has changed (and continues to change) throughout history.
I'm skeptical of the suggestion that there are just two magic knobs (namely, CO2 & Methane) on that giant machine (our planet, which is not a closed system, as it exists in the context of the giant fusion reactor around which it orbits), which control it's temperature and various derivatives of that temperature (e.g. how it changes over time).
I'm skeptical of the people telling the "climate change" stories.
I'm skeptical of the way data is massaged to support arguments that humans are able to control the temperature of the planet.
I'm skeptical of people who allege malicious intent to my skepticism, and assert that they know "The One True Truth" while parroting some narrative they had bludgeoned into them. But hey... maybe I'm just a free-thinker.
The markets do not solve all human problems and challenges.
I think what you're getting at is the price of external consequences which are unaddressed by market pricing mechanisms. Those are called "externalities"