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I meant to make this a regular FT article link post, since Martin Sandbu wrote "The battle for the global payments system is under way" today... without a mention of bitcoin. BUT because this revolutionary shitcoin disaster isn't playing ball this evening, let's entertain the possibility that we're wrong.
First, the article.
The fact is that the Eurozone is already shockingly dependent on American payment mechanisms. Some two-thirds of card payments in the Eurozone are processed by non-European card providers, says the ECB; 13 of the 20 countries using the euro do not have national card-payment systems."
  • Europe doesn't control the payment rails over which most of its payments run: sanctions sidestep it/overrule it.
  • Trump is deranged (uh-hum, #933308), and he's surrounded by stablecoin peeps — USD stablecoins.
  • plus, for the hell of it I'll include the unstated savings destroyed/monetization shoved into unaffordable real estate across Museum Europe etc, etc.
Ideas include a currency and payments system run by and for Brics countries. Technologies such as stablecoins offer an instant, cheap and 24/7 alternative to the expensive, slow and cumbersome legacy of correspondent banking.
But mostly:
The weaponisation of the dollar-based financial system — note how the US has cut off access by adversaries to Swift messaging for bank transfers — has prompted quests for alternatives. Ideas include a currency and payments system run by and for Brics countries. Technologies such as stablecoins offer an instant, cheap and 24/7 alternative to the expensive, slow and cumbersome legacy of correspondent banking.

Monetary overloards and politrixians thinking out loud about a payment solution, and dependency on a single nation, and SWIFT sanctions measures (...which they have loved recently, but whatever). And instead of picking the most obvious fix for that — neutral, unstoppable, freedom money — you're trying to invent a central planning, government solution... with the ECB in charge?!

It's just so undeniably, unavoidable, staring-you-right-in-the-face obvious that bitcoin is the FIX for all of these problems you address...
...except, of course, that maybe it isn't so obvious. Maybe we were all just delusioned and shitface-wrong about this?
I guttorally hate these crap-ass price moves. And honey badger fucking should care ( (#764675).): it makes us poorer, our industry less relevant, our asset less capable of doing the revolutionary things we think it could do (#855317).
Against the backdrop of
  • end of hegemonic power
  • sanctions/avoidance, internationally
  • sanctions/avoidance, retail/banks/Canadian truckers
  • debanking
  • inflation wrecking absolutely everyone
  • recent history of vaccine passport for moving about/buying things
  • noise about programmable CBDC
  • never been easier to understand/learn about Bitcoin (podcasts, videos, services, products)
  • ETFs
  • Regulatory clarity, less hostile environment
  • fucking wealth funds (both murmur in the U.S. and foreign ones buying)
  • Metaplanet and Saylor and GME etc, etc, etc.
  • hashrate ripping (and with price going down, hashprice collapsing...)
...all I can see when BTC/USD misbehaves like this (#908702) is Michael Burry in The Big Short: (2-min clip here, 4:29-6:45)
Michael Burry to Louis, the employee: "Can you come in early tomorrow? We need to unload the AIG and Countrywide positions to afford the premiums on [the rest of the mortgage short positions]." Louis: OK. Dr. Burry, if the investors withdraw what's gonna happen? Burry: "Honestly I don't know... The bonds aren't going down! They won't move! It's possible that we're in a completely fraudulent system!!" Louis: "...or you're... wrong." Burry: "sure, it's possible... I just don't know how. Burry: "I guess, when someone is wrong, they never know how."
I guess, when a community of young, disillusioned, mostly men are wrong; they never quite know how. They just wither away, their dreams and ideas buried with their premature deaths from overdoses and poverty.

This is not what a new, revolutionary money LOOKS LIKE

What @realBitcoinDog loves to tell me during moments like this is that my exposure is too high... damn right, it's too high... but what's a dog (or in my case, monkey!) to hold? There's no more fiat, and no more chairs, and no more future etc, etc. We speak in memes here:

Sure, it's possible [that I'm wrong about this]... I just don't know how


Relevant memes for the day, then:
Peace out, frens. Happy poverty Sunday.

43 sats \ 1 reply \ @Scoresby 18h
I guess, when a community of young, disillusioned, mostly men are wrong; they never quite know how. They just wither away, their dreams and ideas buried with their premature deaths from overdoses and poverty.
Flexing those powers poesy! Pretty nice bit here.
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I have a way with words now and again
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64 sats \ 4 replies \ @grayruby 21h
We are right. Just early. Way early. We may be so early that we will all be dead and never know how right we were. Haha
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well, that's not reassuring at all
I once wrote a piece (about said Mr. Burry, from another scene in the same movie) that being early is the same as being wrong.
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That's true, if you're passing up better options. Like you quipped, "Sell it for what?"
I suppose the gold bugs can rightly laugh at us for a bit, but only for not jumping ship recently, since we've been way righter than them too over any reasonable timeframe.
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Bitcoin is way better than gold
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I think that is the case if you are managing others capital.
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Nothing has changed about Bitcoin's thesis. If you believed in the thesis, nothing about what's happened in the past few weeks should change that.
It's just that degen traders and their autobots are still lumping Bitcoin together with "technology" and other risk-on assets, so price just moves together with those. Also, a bunch of price movements are just liquidity signals and other timing-related "technical analysis" nonsense.
Stay the course, but keep some cash on hand and diversify your assets in case you need to exchange assets for goods in a short moments notice.
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Our civilization 'still' runs on energy. And Bitcoin is the biggest, most direct digitization of energy we have. It's the very best one - especially as the hashrate is absolutely screaming.
Bitcoin to me is the digitization of energy required to make it... and therefore ownership of the future of our civilization.
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Today I went to an indoor plant store and bought a plant for my wife. The kind that will grow alongside a wall. I asked if i could pay with bitcoin and the owner said "of course" then quickly flipped over an ipad with BTCPAY server that he's hosting himself. I paid with sats, we talked about nodes and channels a bit, and then I left.
I drove 30 minutes north to a British pub and bought a lovely amber, a shepherds pie, and some crispy Scottish eggs. When it came time to pay I asked again if I could pay with sats and again found myself scanning a LN invoice on a BTC pay server.
Bitcoin working as intended. bitcoin is money.
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @teemupleb 9h
This is the way! Spend and replace!
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Very nice, my friend
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mBridge...you failed to mention it or are unaware of it. it is a real thing and is all ready to go. China is already enabling trade payments for Iran and Russia and the Saudis recently joined mBridge while BIS abandoned its support for mBridge because it is already a potential competitor to the USD/SWIFT hegemony.
But lets ignore these facts and pump Bitcoins prospects shall we?
Bitcoin has already largely been captured by the USD fiat bankers via KYC, mining, ETFs and other forms of US domiciled institutional custody. The application of taxation assessment and liability to each and every Bitcoin transaction in almost all jurisdictions has effectively relegated Bitcoin MoE use to those prepared to ignore the law. Like us. Everytime we zap we are probably breaching our respective tax jurisdiction obligations. Plus the narrative of Bitcoin as a speculative commodity has largely succeeded in changing people perception and use of Bitcoin removing it as a credible threat to USD payments hegemony.
Most Bitcoiners ignore the above facts and evidence in blind NGU hopium- and it is not that there is no hope but that they ignore the real challenges that confront Bitcoin.
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19 sats \ 1 reply \ @028559d218 14h
I think bitcoin isn't going 'up', simply because of the limited knowledge about it. It is associated with 'crypto' basically beanie babies, rather than gold or risk-off assets.
The vast majority of the people buying the ETFs I would wager have no idea how Bitcoin works, have never made a transaction, or even 'looked' at the mempool in any way to understand the energy preserved in Bitcoin when you custody it.
If people have never 'used' it, how can they understand it? At least exchanges give you 'option' of withdrawal, an etf doesn't even provide that. It doesn't say you're buying 'sats' but shares... of the Bitcoin that they hold.
How many prospective etf-buyers even 'know' what a Sat is?
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Yes ETF buyers are missing out on the core value of Bitcoin- self custody, direct control and the ability to make censorship resistant P2P payments free of intermediaries. The ETF operators are playing on peoples ignorance to capture and control a large slice of the Bitcoin protocols custody and liquidity- I believe they are doing this deliberately and with ill intent...to obstruct Bitcoin liquidity and prevent/limit it posing a growing threat to fiat MoE hegemony. Hopefully as fiat is increasingly failing more people learn the true power and freedom Bitcoin can enable. Just hope enough people value freedom over being farmed by rentseeking power grabbing fiat bankers and their lobby captured politicians.
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I mean, the EU deciding it needs its own thing, which will probably be inferior and tied down with red tape, doesn't surprise me at all.
We already have SEPA as a swift alternative for Euros which works fine, but the risk of overdependence on American systems was always there. shit, Putin;s been talking about a BRICS swift alternative for ages for international payments.
I think what's changed is the aggressive language towards Europe coming from a historic ally it making them shit themselves, but it might be the kick in the ass Europe needs.
IMO no government will ever pick bitcoin as its go-to, unless really forced by some dramatic circumstances. Btc is the opposite to what a gov whats, it's good for the pleb because it's freedom money that can't be debased.
A gov doesn't want or need freedom money, it needs to control, surveil, punish, and debase to keep exports competitive or whatever.
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it's good for the pleb because it's freedom money that can't be debased. A gov doesn't want or need freedom money, it needs to control, surveil, punish, and debase to keep exports competitive or whatever.
Agree that a gov wants that, but why do the plebs, like sheep, so willingly comply? They can just, you know, leave; opt out.
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I think it's a combination of ignorance, complacency, laziness, and the pain threshold not being high enough yet, in the Western world at least.
most people past a certain age just don't want to learn anything new, unfortunately, especially if it challenges what the MSM has been preaching for decades
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Exactly this — and what’s wild is Bitcoin doesn’t even get a mention, as if it hasn’t been quietly running an opt-in, borderless, censorship-resistant payments layer for 15 years.
Sure, it’s clunky, volatile, and misused. But name another network that isn’t owned, isn’t stoppable, and clears billions globally 24/7.
Sandbu’s piece hits the urgency but misses the shift: • Europe is a tenant in America’s payments architecture. • BRICS wants its own rails — not just to escape sanctions, but to assert monetary sovereignty. • Stablecoins may be the trojan horse here, quietly onboarding billions via USD-denominated wrappers while dollar stability lasts.
If the EU doesn’t build native infrastructure soon (i.e., something realer than the digital euro PR exercise), it won’t just be America calling the shots — Tether will.
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