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Bitcoin's Price is Important

A few days ago @TNStacker posted a link to an article discussing technical analysis of bitcoin's price. I responded in a typical maxi way that said, in essence, who cares about price?
In retrospect, I was wrong.
Bitcoin's price does matter.
It is a badge of honor in the bitcoin community to say some variation of the following:
  1. I don't care about the price of bitcoin.
  2. Price is the least interesting thing about bitcoin.
  3. 1 bitcoin = 1 bitcoin.
Just about every person I look up to in the bitcoin world believes that the price of bitcoin is not that important, or at least says so publicly. I embraced this notion myself.
I no longer agree.
Price is the measure of value in our society, no matter how inaccurate, misguided or manipulated it might be at any point in time.
The US dollar is the global measure of price. This is a fact, regardless of what we say or want to believe. I have no doubt value will be measured in bitcoin at some point, but that is not the case now.
Bitcoin's price matters for many reasons. Here are a few:

Price appreciation speeds adoption

When bitcoin's price rises, it gets more attention, and becomes more widely known among no-coiners. This is true for individuals, corporations, and nations.
I'm willing to bet that virtually all of today's maxis started as NGU newbies. I know I did.

Price dumps are a mixed bag.

Price decreases spread FUD, slowing adoption and scaring off those who haven't completely digested their orange pill.
Similarly, institutions having to live in a world of quarterly reports and shareholder meetings are often prevented from buying bitcoin because of these price swings.
Price is also critical to nation state adoption. The value of a country's treasury can soar or be decimated overnight, and its citizens will find it difficult to budget for household expenses so long as extreme price volatility is commonplace.
On the other hand, price dumps allow newly converted maxis to play a little catch up to the OG hodlers.
I know that's how I felt about the past year's bear market, for which I will be forever grateful.

Price increases cause things to get cheaper in bitcoin terms

Many bitcoiners are now living on a bitcoin standard. Price appreciation in US dollars makes this much easier. Bitcoiners get more goods and services for their sats, and merchants will be far more amenable to accepting bitcoin after hearing in the news about the latest "mooning."

Bitcoin's price is interesting

I don't believe the canard "price is the least interesting thing about bitcoin." It is certainly not the most interesting thing about bitcoin, but it's still interesting.
Price can reveal importance milestones on the road to hyperbitcoinization.
For example, we lately see a divergence between the price action of equities and bitcoin for the first time in a year or two. This helps gauge whether bitcoin is being perceived as a risk asset or a store of value.
Bitcoin's price can also serve as a more objective, reliable gauge of fiat inflation, rather than trusting ridiculously doctored government indexes.
Studying price action in the derivatives market can reveal market manipulation to artificially suppress the price of bitcoin, thereby repressing adoption. This "paper trading" has manipulated the gold market for half a century. Some prominent bitcoiners such as Willy Woo and Bitcoin TINA publicly changed long held beliefs about bitcoin as a result of price during this last bear market.
Price also determines market cap, which measures bitcoin's relative value compared to other assets, such as gold, US treasuries, oil, etc.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s price has always mattered, and it will matter once we live in a bitcoin world. The US dollar has served as the world’s reserve currency for at least seventy five years, and its price has always mattered. Gold has served as a form of money for 5000 years, and its price has always mattered.
I think it's time for bitcoiners to stop virtue signalling by saying price isn't important
This is why we are here. To challenge each others perspectives and perceptions, but more importantly to challenge our own. It seems we have helped each other grow. This is community!
This is Bitcoin!
Stack sats, stay humble.
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Huzzah!
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I could agree with most of you say in the post. Keep in mind one aspect: the "price" of to day, is the price you pay to get some BTC. You get BTC as store of energy, for future use. Bitcoin is damn energy stored in the perfect way that you can store it.
The "value" of your BTC you "buy" or earn today it still do not contain the future value of tomorrow.
Price is NOT value. The price in fiat money of buying 1BTC means your "entry point".
And here is an example in form of a meme:
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I was bracing for my monthly thrashing, and instead I get an insightful criticism. I hope Anakin isn't getting soft!
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Should we make a "I also got bitch slapped by Darthcoin club"?
43 sats \ 2 replies \ @ama 5 Dec
Nah, it's not!
But yaaaaaaaaaaayyyyy!!!! $100K LOL
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I forgot about this post!
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43 sats \ 0 replies \ @ama 5 Dec
And here I was to remind you of it.
You're welcome. :-D
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Great write up. Permission to cross-post this on Nostr please.
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Me, too!
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Adoption is what matters. In a scarce asset price should eventually follow, even if it doesn't in the short term. But to your point, growing adoption is easier when the price is stable or rising. If everyone thinks Bitcoin is dead because "crypto" is all a scam and blowing up or because price has dropped 70%, it is more difficult to explain to people why they need some.
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Short term, yup you may be right. But most ppl hodling BTC don't think short term. Trend kills price.
The US dollar is the global measure of price.
Well this is true for now, but its interesting to observe the trend. More and more countries are ditching or trying to ditch the dollar as a global settlement currency. Its happening right now. It will only take selling oil for something other than US dollars and the ponzi will be over. So... using this price in dollars as information only works if you think status quo will remain the exact same. Which many bitcoiners believe it won't, and the trend is proving those bitcoiners right.
Its difficult for ppl to really grasp and understand this. PPL that have not lived with the consequences of your state debasing the shit out of your currency. Ask anyone in Argentina how much matters price of stuff in Pesos, its BS and now ask yourself how much longer can the dollar be printed to infinity while being a global currency... 5 more years? 10? Why does price matter that much?
Higher prices matter only those that want to milk the protocol to get more fiat, "the investment bitcoiners". My POV is, I am trying to shrink my fiat exposure, not making it bigger.
My only concern right now is getting my stack deeper and wider.
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You can price BTC in anything. Don't need to use USD. As of now, 1 BTC = 3431.58 bushels of wheat.
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We actually need a neutral and standardized basket of goods and services very desperately. Or even a group of several baskets of goods and services as benchmarks.
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The price going up in mind blowing ways is one of the ingredients of Bitcoin success recipe. It's one of the factors that causes the virtuous cycle of growth and adoption.
Many of us came to this for greed and stayed for the revolution, and that is fine. Most new joiners will come because of it, and that is fine as well. Nobody wants to become poor.
If Bitcoin's supply cap was not in place, thus removing the Ngu part of it, I would have very little faith in Bitcoin going mainstream any time in the future.
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Price is the market signal.
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Came to Bitcoin from my own greed and the dollar value go up a while back.
Learned a whole new unit of value.
Stayed for the revolution.
I think both ideas are right. Price doesn't matter in dollar denomination. But the value of the scarce unit is currently being priced against the most common "currencies"
Sats priced in oil, an acre of land, a winnebago, or as Darth pointed out, ramen. These are all abstractions we use to find "price".
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Stop pricing Bitcoin in US Dollars and start pricing US Dollars in Bitcoin.
That's the way I like to think about it. BTC is the only money ever created to have a fixed supply. That makes it a very good measuring tape against everything else.
You can price anything in anything. For example, in the 1970s a house cost about 95,000 cartons of eggs. Today a house costs about 90,000 cartons of eggs. In other words, houses are getting cheaper relative to eggs.
That's pretty profound when you think about it. And it highlights how silly it is that we use dollars to measure price.
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Price appreciation speeds adoption When bitcoin's price rises, it gets more attention, and becomes more widely known among no-coiners. This is true for individuals, corporations, and nations.
I disagree. Price increase gets a lot of low-conviction newbies. They are in it for the money, they'll go when price dumps and they spread missinformation about the fundamental values of Bitcoin.
I'd much rather have no price action and get more people that are in it for the ideals of a hard and decentralized money even if that means adoption is slower.
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Everyone is low conviction when they first get into something. Conviction comes with time and effort. It comes more easily to some people than others.
Cycles are like waves of people. Lot's of people get dragged in on the wave, some people stay as the rest get washed out.
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There are many stories of low-conviction newbies that became high-conviction maxis. Besides, it doesn't matter much what we'd rather, it's happening that way whether we like it or not. It's better to focus on what we can control rather than what we can't.
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The long story short and also the well known golden rule is:
The hashrate follows the price
So the stable price is the measure of security of the bitcoin network.
And ideal situation is if price is steady, slowly increasing (like 1k/mo) and never going down.
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stackers have outlawed this. turn on wild west mode in your /settings to see outlawed content.
stackers have outlawed this. turn on wild west mode in your /settings to see outlawed content.