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Seems like Silver's got some edge back, now that he's not beholden to the Disney Corporation.
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You mean that Nate Silver was also a lapdog for Disney? That makes sense! But, he has been somewhat accurate in the past. Cui bono, qui stipendium accipit
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I'm not necessarily saying he was their lapdog, but the quality of 538 gradually declined.
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Of course, but his quality met the standards and desires of the Disney Corp. They were his piper, always calling the tune.
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I listen to their podcast still but yes it’s not as good anymore
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I’m enjoying! Is podcast On the Edge too
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I haven't listened to his new podcast, but I really enjoyed his 538 podcasts back before ABC bought it.
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Yup, he openly admits it, too. Working with Disney wasn't great
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @Aardvark 1 Nov
That's actually really interesting
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You’re welcome!
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I learned a lot about polling from that article. Thanks for posting.
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You’re welcome!
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Not just “the poll guy” anymore!
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Lots of herding for people that dont think.
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Is it really a coin toss who will win on Tuesday?
Silver is saying, no it’s not. But pollsters aren’t willing to stick their neck out.
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You only look dumb if you're wrong in a different way from everyone else. It definitely doesn't actually feel like a toss up.
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We wont know until the results are counted. Last election trump thought he won.
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Which way are the winds blowing @Undisciplined?
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I don't know any more than anyone else, but it's looking like Trump has the edge.
That's what realclearpolitics, 270towin, Nate Silver, and the predictions markets all say.
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Didnt he have the edge before the last election, too?
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Maybe, I know I was expecting him to win.
We wont know the proper results even after the votes have been counted. The Democrats are using Stalin’s vote counting theory.
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You only look dumb if you took the money and didn’t give the proper results. You see it in pharma, science and medicine, all bought and paid for. I guess you can add polling and journalism to that list.
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Who needs it to look close. Been seein’ those “new’” Haitians (now, within 6 months Americans) being trucked to several voting stations to vote early and vote often. They have been caught red-handed again, and I do mean RED.
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What this means is that if pollsters are doing honest work, we should see a lot more “outliers” than we do — even if people love to complain about them on Twitter.
Outliers are the ones that are getting discarded as incorrect polls. What could the incentive to “herd” like this. I don’t think Nate Sliver has that nailed down. Perhaps the incentive is to show what is not accurate to bolster later electoral games. Are these pollsters bought and paid for? What are the results that they are aiming for with this “herding”? I don’t think anybody is going to like the results of this bogus polling!
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