There are other nations that don't have abundant fresh water. CA could continue purchasing water from AZ or ramp up its desalination industry.
They would need economic policy reforms to deal with the loss of federal welfare funding, but CA still contains a lot of wealth and even more unutilized productive potential.
Desalination costs a lot of money. California is practically bankrupt, it would have a hard time getting off the federal goverments teet.
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That's true, but it wouldn't necessarily be a deal breaker. California would still be one of the wealthiest countries on Earth. Europe is substantially poorer than California, for instance.
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California has become that way because of government subsidies. Do you really think the people can bear to shoulder that? Take away the subsidies and infrastructure, CA would easily collapse on itself.
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California became wealthy through genuine economic productivity and has devolved into a welfare state. That's very similar to the story in much of Europe.
My point is that California wouldn't be any worse off than a typical European nation. That may be worse than its current situation, but it's not really a complete collapse.
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California may have become wealthy in that way. That was the past. They are barely keeping afloat. I bet soon their local government will ask for a bailout. They are also struggling with immigration and the homeless.
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These are all reversible short-term issues, though. I'm not aware of any reasons that CA can't get better, but they will have to work through these problems. That's true whether or not they're independent. The state is on a major decline and that will likely result in a bunch of government defaults on various financial obligations.
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With time, any country or state can get better, in the right conditions. I just dont feel california could actually split and survive under the condition it is under right now.
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