Good article by 49ers beat reporter David Lombardi regarding Brock Purdy's potential extension.
I am not disputing anything Lombardi is saying or the trends of the current QB market which appears to be up only. I hope the 49ers re-sign him and I care much more about contract structure than APY. Cap hits, guaranteed money and potential outs will be most important. As I mentioned in my last post about this the 49ers are amongst the best in the league at structuring big $ deals.
I don't expect Brock to take a discount to stay in SF but maybe he should.
I have been thinking about other situations where Brock could be as successful and they seem few and far between. Either because they don't have the scheme or roster that works well with Brock, or they already have a QB they are paying big money to, or they have a young QB they hope will become elite or they plan to draft a young QB they hope will become elite, or they play in an open air stadiums in locations predisposed to inclement weather.
When you go through the list of teams where Purdy might be a fit, it doesn't seem there would be a huge list of suitors, especially if you consider he would be looking for 60M apy.
Let's take a look by division and see if there are any really good fits for Brock.
AFC East: Maybe Miami if they were to move on from Tua or if he was to retire due to too many concussions. Good scheme fit, good complementary pieces, good offensive minded coach. Good weather. But bad weather in the rest of the division. Who knows what the Jets are doing. Maybe could be a fit if they don't draft a QB or name Rodgers QB and CEO until he is 50. Bad weather option and division though.
AFC North: Steelers and Browns both need better long term options at QB. Steelers could be a good scheme fit and have a few nice offensive weapons. Tomlin seems to get the best out of his players. Browns are a complete mess, who knows if they think they need a QB. Both bad weather locations and the entire division is susceptible to inclement weather.
AFC West: Raiders need a QB but with a new regime coming in they likely want to draft and develop their own. Seems like it could be a fit if they wanted to go the FA route but who knows what the new coach will want to do scheme or personnel wise. Weather wouldn't be an issue but could be when they go on the road to KC or Denver late in the season.
AFC South: Colts and Titans seem like they could be fits. Who knows what happens with Richardson in Indy and Titans definitely need a long term option at QB. Titans are likely to draft a QB this year though so that might eliminate that idea. Weather shouldn't be an issue at all in AFC South.
NFC East: Giants definitely need a long term option at QB. One would imagine they will try to draft one this year but it's the Giants so who knows. I don't think it is a fit weather wise though. That's a lot of late season home games and divisional games that could be played in poor weather.
NFC North: Unless the Vikings want to move on from McCarthy, which would seem odd when he hasn't thrown a pass in the league yet, I don't see much of a fit in this division. If they did want to move on from McCarthy it could be a nice fit with a good offensive minded coach, great weapons, domed stadium. Travelling to Chicago and Green Bay late in the season could present weather issues but Detroit is also a dome and it's unlikely you can completely eliminate the weather factor.
NFC South: Saints seem like a good fit. They need a long term QB option post Carr who only has 2 years left on his deal. Brock isn't actually a FA until after next season and 49ers could franchise tag him after that. Depending what they do with coaching and the roster going forward this might be the best non NFC West fit. Weather isn't an issue in that division as it is filled with domed stadiums or good weather locales.
NFC West: Seattle would be a terrible option for Brock with the amount of rain they get but they do need a better, longer term option than Geno. Cardinals are tied to Kyler Murray whether they want to be or not. That leaves what I think are the two best fits in the NFL for Brock. Staying with the 49ers (obviously) or going to the Rams and replacing Stafford when (if) he retires in a couple years. Rams have elite weapons, a great offensive minded coach, and the West doesn't really pose many weather issues other than Seattle. Other than staying in SF, the Rams would be Brock's best option and fit.
As you can see, there are really only a few ideal fits for Brock. Sure some team can ignore he can't grip a ball in the rain and snow and hope for the best but if you are going to pay a guy 60M a year you probably want to know he isn't going to pull a Sam Darnold when the season is on the line in December or in the playoffs. So, with such a small market for Brock, should he really be trying to get the biggest APY contract in history or should he give the 49ers a bit of a discount, still get paid handsomely and stay in a situation where he knows he can thrive?
What say you stackers? Am I missing something? Is the Brock market more robust than I am thinking?
Sats for all,
GR