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Prediction in an uncertain world
open.substack.com/pub/econguykonrad/p/prediction-in-an-uncertain-world?r=d1sr3&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
216 sats
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0 comments
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@ankh_konrad
20 Jul 2024
econ
related
What are your predictions for 2024?
7247 sats
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76 comments
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@ek
1 Jan 2024
oracle
What is your Next Monthly Forecast?
6196 sats
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72 comments
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@Alby
25 Jun 2024
oracle
Why prediction markets aren’t popular
worksinprogress.co/issue/why-prediction-markets-arent-popular/
3013 sats
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22 comments
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@k00b
23 Jan
oracle
Understanding Set Markets in Prediction Markets
1611 sats
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4 comments
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@mega_dreamer
16 Jan
oracle
Fedimint Prediction Markets Demo on Mutinynet
6928 sats
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10 comments
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@toyota_corolla0
15 Feb 2024
ecash
Can Name Some Failed Predictions that Keep Being Repeated Over and Over Again?
773 sats
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30 comments
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@kepford
17 Mar
Politics_And_Law
Something I've been working on: Fedimint Prediction Markets
2654 sats
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2 comments
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@toyota_corolla0
26 Oct 2023
bitcoin
freebie
Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problem
asteriskmag.com/issues/05/prediction-markets-have-an-elections-problem-jeremiah-johnson
3562 sats
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10 comments
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@elvismercury
30 Jan 2024
oracle
Do you believe in “Predictive Programming”?
6971 sats
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19 comments
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@Car
25 Feb 2024
conspiracy
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Accepting Uncertainty, Embracing Volatility (2012)
knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-accepting-uncertainty-embracing-volatility/
238 sats
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0 comments
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@jakoyoh629
7 Jul 2024
BooksAndArticles
Stuff that's cringe in Bitcoin:
2832 sats
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95 comments
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@birdeye21
15 Aug 2023
bitcoin
Prediction markets: can betting be good for the world? (2021)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=xA27x7GRMZQ
1004 sats
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30 comments
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@ek
9 Dec 2023
oracle
freebie
Are Technical Analysts Just Fortune Tellers?
1484 sats
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33 comments
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@kr
1 Feb 2024
bitcoin
What is a Prediction Market, and Why Should You Care?
843 sats
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6 comments
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@mega_dreamer
25 Dec 2024
oracle
Worst Predictions
humanscience.fandom.com/wiki/Worst_Predictions
3629 sats
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8 comments
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@ek
21 Jan 2024
oracle
Understanding Multiple-Option Markets in Prediction Markets
1643 sats
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3 comments
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@mega_dreamer
17 Jan
oracle
Seeing into the Future
2676 sats
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13 comments
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@needcreations_
28 Dec 2023
polls
You don´t know what you don´t know - The illusion of information adequacy
journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0310216
601 sats
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3 comments
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@02a9a61fdc
13 Nov 2024
science
musings over a possible future
www.technologyreview.com/2024/08/27/1096133/ai-economic-inequality-jobs-low-income/
353 sats
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1 comment
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@dontforgetthekeys
27 Aug 2024
FiresidePhilosophy
NIP-99: Prediction markets (Draft)
github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/517
3456 sats
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21 comments
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@ek
11 May 2023
nostr
When Data Is Missing, Scientists Guess. Then Guess Again
www.quantamagazine.org/when-data-is-missing-scientists-guess-then-guess-again-20241002/
505 sats
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12 comments
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@0xbitcoiner
2 Oct 2024
science
more