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Prediction in an uncertain world
open.substack.com/pub/econguykonrad/p/prediction-in-an-uncertain-world?r=d1sr3&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
216 sats
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0 comments
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@ankh_konrad
20 Jul 2024
econ
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What's hardest to predict?
729 sats
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22 comments
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@Team_Predyx
11 Oct 2025
oracle
🚀 Prediction Markets 101 🎯
228 sats
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4 comments
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@mega_dreamer
3 Feb 2025
oracle
Understanding Set Markets in Prediction Markets
1611 sats
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4 comments
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@mega_dreamer
16 Jan 2025
oracle
Can Name Some Failed Predictions that Keep Being Repeated Over and Over Again?
773 sats
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30 comments
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@kepford
17 Mar 2025
Politics_And_Law
Finding Optimism in Uncertain Times
226 sats
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0 comments
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@PictureRoom
29 Jan 2025
ideasfromtheedge
Prediction Markets
www.gwern.net/Prediction-markets
106 sats
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0 comments
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@mrbrownstone
4 Sep 2022
bitcoin
How do you deal with uncertainty?
252 sats
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1 comment
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@co574
19 Feb 2024
ideasfromtheedge
Introduction to Prediction Markets, Robin Hanson (2022)
youtu.be/4yZKGbq1YmA
53 sats
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0 comments
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@ek
24 Dec 2023
oracle
The Cost of Certainty
186 sats
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2 comments
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@GreaterthanFiction
25 Oct 2025
BooksAndArticles
Why Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist (but It’s Useful to Act like It Does)
www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-probability-probably-doesnt-exist-but-its-useful-to-act-like-it-does/
232 sats
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1 comment
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@ch0k1
26 Dec 2024
science
Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problem
asteriskmag.com/issues/05/prediction-markets-have-an-elections-problem-jeremiah-johnson
3562 sats
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10 comments
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@elvismercury
30 Jan 2024
oracle
Expecting Volatility In An Uncertain Market
bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/uncertainty-creating-widespread-market-volatility
30 sats
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1 comment
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@User21000000
6 Oct 2022
bitcoin
prediction markets aren't just gambling
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gq3v-Y6cvLI
1462 sats
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12 comments
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@south_korea_ln
17 Dec 2025
oracle
A Constant in a World of Uncertainty
wakeupwithbitcoin.substack.com/p/wwb-a-constant-in-a-world-of-uncertainty
100 sats
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0 comments
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@CypherPoet
7 Jul 2022
bitcoin
Designing Through Uncertainty
designerup.co/blog/designing-through-uncertainty
182 sats
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1 comment
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@deSign_r
16 Jun 2025
Design
'Can you predict the future? Yes, of course you can': Inside the 1 equation, YES
214 sats
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0 comments
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@Coinsreporter
12 Oct 2024
BooksAndArticles
NIP-99: Prediction markets (Draft)
github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/517
3456 sats
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21 comments
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@ek
11 May 2023
nostr
Uncertainty beyond the Uncertainty Principle
100 sats
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1 comment
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@ScienceExplorist
29 Dec 2023
science
Prediction markets: can betting be good for the world? (2021)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=xA27x7GRMZQ
1004 sats
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30 comments
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@ek
9 Dec 2023
oracle
freebie
@TheInvestor's bio
332 sats
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11 comments
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@TheInvestor
13 Nov 2025
Stuff that's cringe in Bitcoin:
2832 sats
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95 comments
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@birdeye21
15 Aug 2023
bitcoin
more