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Prediction in an uncertain worldopen.substack.com/pub/econguykonrad/p/prediction-in-an-uncertain-world?r=d1sr3&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
216 sats \ 0 comments \ @ankh_konrad 20 Jul 2024 econ
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What are your predictions for 2024?
7247 sats \ 76 comments \ @ek 1 Jan 2024 oracle
What is your Next Monthly Forecast?
6196 sats \ 72 comments \ @Alby 25 Jun 2024 oracle
Why prediction markets aren’t popularworksinprogress.co/issue/why-prediction-markets-arent-popular/
3013 sats \ 22 comments \ @k00b 23 Jan oracle
Understanding Set Markets in Prediction Markets
1611 sats \ 4 comments \ @mega_dreamer 16 Jan oracle
Fedimint Prediction Markets Demo on Mutinynet
6928 sats \ 10 comments \ @toyota_corolla0 15 Feb 2024 ecash
Can Name Some Failed Predictions that Keep Being Repeated Over and Over Again?
773 sats \ 30 comments \ @kepford 17 Mar Politics_And_Law
What deters people from Bitcoin is their unwillingness to embrace uncertainty
1813 sats \ 25 comments \ @SpaceHodler 6 Jul 2024 bitcoin
Something I've been working on: Fedimint Prediction Markets
2654 sats \ 2 comments \ @toyota_corolla0 26 Oct 2023 bitcoin freebie
Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problemasteriskmag.com/issues/05/prediction-markets-have-an-elections-problem-jeremiah-johnson
3562 sats \ 10 comments \ @elvismercury 30 Jan 2024 oracle
Do you believe in “Predictive Programming”?
6971 sats \ 19 comments \ @Car 25 Feb 2024 conspiracy
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Accepting Uncertainty, Embracing Volatility (2012)knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-accepting-uncertainty-embracing-volatility/
238 sats \ 0 comments \ @jakoyoh629 7 Jul 2024 BooksAndArticles
Stuff that's cringe in Bitcoin:
2832 sats \ 95 comments \ @birdeye21 15 Aug 2023 bitcoin
Prediction markets: can betting be good for the world? (2021)www.youtube.com/watch?v=xA27x7GRMZQ
1004 sats \ 30 comments \ @ek 9 Dec 2023 oracle freebie
Are Technical Analysts Just Fortune Tellers?
1484 sats \ 33 comments \ @kr 1 Feb 2024 bitcoin
What is a Prediction Market, and Why Should You Care?
843 sats \ 6 comments \ @mega_dreamer 25 Dec 2024 oracle
Worst Predictionshumanscience.fandom.com/wiki/Worst_Predictions
3629 sats \ 8 comments \ @ek 21 Jan 2024 oracle
Understanding Multiple-Option Markets in Prediction Markets
1643 sats \ 3 comments \ @mega_dreamer 17 Jan oracle
Seeing into the Future
2676 sats \ 13 comments \ @needcreations_ 28 Dec 2023 polls
You don´t know what you don´t know - The illusion of information adequacyjournals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0310216
601 sats \ 3 comments \ @02a9a61fdc 13 Nov 2024 science
musings over a possible futurewww.technologyreview.com/2024/08/27/1096133/ai-economic-inequality-jobs-low-income/
353 sats \ 1 comment \ @dontforgetthekeys 27 Aug 2024 FiresidePhilosophy
NIP-99: Prediction markets (Draft)github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/517
3456 sats \ 21 comments \ @ek 11 May 2023 nostr