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Prediction in an uncertain worldopen.substack.com/pub/econguykonrad/p/prediction-in-an-uncertain-world?r=d1sr3&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
216 sats \ 0 comments \ @ankh_konrad 20 Jul econ
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Stuff that's cringe in Bitcoin:
2832 sats \ 95 comments \ @birdeye21 15 Aug 2023 bitcoin
Something I've been working on: Fedimint Prediction Markets
2654 sats \ 2 comments \ @toyota_corolla0 26 Oct 2023 bitcoin freebie
What are your predictions for 2024?
7234 sats \ 70 comments \ @ek 1 Jan oracle
Fedimint Prediction Markets Demo on Mutinynet
6928 sats \ 10 comments \ @toyota_corolla0 15 Feb ecash
Do you believe in “Predictive Programming”?
6971 sats \ 19 comments \ @Car 25 Feb conspiracy
Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problemasteriskmag.com/issues/05/prediction-markets-have-an-elections-problem-jeremiah-johnson
3562 sats \ 10 comments \ @elvismercury 30 Jan oracle
NIP-99: Prediction markets (Draft)github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/517
3456 sats \ 21 comments \ @ek 11 May 2023 nostr
What is your Next Monthly Forecast?
6196 sats \ 72 comments \ @Alby 25 Jun oracle
On the nature of reality and the dangers of certainty in some perceived truth.
2690 sats \ 14 comments \ @artdesignbySF 9 Oct 2023 meta
Miners Mostly Lose — Bitcoin Prediction Market for Miner Insurance and ROI
24.5k sats \ 31 comments \ @HYPERBITCOINZATION 22 Jun BitcoinPredictionMarket
Weird instances of predictive programming
3892 sats \ 11 comments \ @birdeye21 13 Dec 2023 aliens_and_UFOs
Worst Predictionshumanscience.fandom.com/wiki/Worst_Predictions
3629 sats \ 8 comments \ @ek 21 Jan oracle
What deters people from Bitcoin is their unwillingness to embrace uncertainty
1813 sats \ 25 comments \ @SpaceHodler 6 Jul bitcoin
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Accepting Uncertainty, Embracing Volatility (2012)knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-accepting-uncertainty-embracing-volatility/
238 sats \ 0 comments \ @jakoyoh629 7 Jul BooksAndArticles
Are Technical Analysts Just Fortune Tellers?
1484 sats \ 33 comments \ @kr 1 Feb bitcoin
Sunday Survey: Year-end Price Prediction
1224 sats \ 12 comments \ @jimmysong 9 Jul 2023 bitcoin
Manifold | The largest prediction market platformmanifold.markets
1707 sats \ 39 comments \ @TonyGiorgio 6 Dec 2023 oracle
Seeing into the Future
2676 sats \ 13 comments \ @needcreations_ 28 Dec 2023 polls
You don´t know what you don´t know - The illusion of information adequacyjournals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0310216
601 sats \ 3 comments \ @02a9a61fdc 13 Nov science
Finding Signal In A Noisy Worldmedium.com/@JeffBooth/finding-signal-in-a-noisy-world-57497df06a35
333 sats \ 4 comments \ @cryptocoin 9 Aug 2022 bitcoin
Prediction Markets on SN · Issue #309 · stackernews/stacker.newsgithub.com/stackernews/stacker.news/issues/309
1759 sats \ 5 comments \ @ek 10 Jun 2023 meta