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188 sats \ 0 replies \ @jimmysong 23 Jan \ on: Why prediction markets aren’t popular oracle
The article just destroyed Paul Sztorc's Hivemind and in turn, Drivechains, not to mention all those altcoins that were focused on some platform for betting/gambling.
The article makes sense to me and I don't really see any substantial flaws in it. There is a way to subsidize using inflation that would motivate savers, but then that's essentially what the stock market and real estate are now. Anyway, nice find!
121 sats \ 0 replies \ @jimmysong 11 Jan \ parent \ on: Shill me your lnbits instance bitcoin_beginners
What backup version do you have? Armory used a proprietary backup format (the wallet was created before BIP39), and it uses the backup to generate the private keys in a deterministic fashion. IIRC, they are all letters, no numbers. Anyway, it's been a while, but I used to work on that code base so message me on Nostr if you want help.
Can we have a deboosting option? This is just drivechain crap that's not really interesting. I'd pay to have it not stare at me every time I visit this site. If Vlad wants to boost against the de-boosting of everyone else, more power to him, but I'd pay to not see this post.
I'm skeptical of that particular interpretation of the Marshmellow Test. For a different take, check this out:
We don't act like that because we're not homo economicus, but people with relationships, emotions, goals and dreams.
Also, Asian cultures just give money a lot of the time. It's a lot like dating people are hoping to get a good deal (paying $50 for a gift that the recipient will value at more than $50, or getting someone slightly higher value on the dating market), but most of the time it's a futile exercise and everyone loses.
4 was good. 5 was great. 6 was ok.
1, 2 and 3 sucked in such indescribable ways, especially after waiting over 15 years for them to come out. One of the most satisfying early youtube videos for me was this takedown of episode 1: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL5919C8DE6F720A2D It's so old that it had to be broken into 10 minute chunks because that was the limit on YouTube back then. There are similar takedowns of 2 and 3 by the same guy.
But then, it got worse and 7, 8 and 9 somehow made 1, 2 and 3 look reasonable, which still amazes me. I haven't watched 8 or 9, but if they can make 1, 2 and 3 look ok, they must be truly dreadful indeed.
But yea, 4 is basically a modern retelling of Kurasawa's classic The Hidden Fortress. Seriously, the plot is very similar, down to the perspective of the two lowest characters, which Lucas admitted he ripped from the movie. 5 was the real gem, in my view.