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There is a bet on Predyx about SN reaching 1.4M items in 2025 or not:
@denlillaapan is creating regular posts about how bad this bet is going for me:
This is the latest chart:
I agree, it doesn't look good. But It's So Early, right?!
But it won't be so early forever. Therefore, I have decided that I can't sit back anymore and pretend like I don't feel like this:
But on the other hand, I haven't even started to do something about it. But today we will reclaim our homeworld like in this opening cinematic of Legacy of the Void:
Let's make @denlillaapan cry and the next chart look like this!

But @ek, you have just posted a bunch of memes and haven't explained at all what the bounty is about???
You are right! I got carried away. But the title already explains most of it:
  • whoever has the most comments in this post wins
  • deadline is on Monday, April 28, 0:00 UTC (timezone converter)
But wait! This isn't a winner takes all:
🥇 1st place gets 25k sats 🥈 2nd place gets 12.5k sats 🥉 3rd place gets 7.5k sats 4th place gets 5k sats 5th place gets 2.5k sats
everyone above 100 comments gets 1k sats
btw, we're also engaged since today, see #948336.
25,000 sats bounty
ADDENDUM
  • Freebie comments don't count
  • New accounts that look like bots that have been created to only win this bounty also don't count so save your sats
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What about bot posts by real users 👀
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100 sats \ 2 replies \ @ek OP 19 Apr
If you use your API key and your comments are marked as bot, it won't count
THE ADDENDUM IS CLEAR @grayruby YOU SHALL BE DIVORCED
But @ek and @Aardvark are engaged 😘
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Definitely a possibility by the end of the contest.
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56 sats \ 6 replies \ @OT 2h
I think @siggy47 is showing some wisdom here.
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Typical
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10 sats \ 4 replies \ @OT 1h
Or he's got too many sats. Maybe if the prize were 100k he might be enticed
@mega_dreamer totally happy with all this Predyx bet activity (#944412)
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Yes very happy, thanks for spreading the word.
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100 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 25m
SN loves Predyx.
I'm not positive how predyx works, but if I'm looking correctly, it's cheaper to bet on "no" right now?
THE SCOOP!
@Undisciplined is piling in...
I almost became the biggest holder of No contracts... but alas, no.
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40 sats \ 1 reply \ @OT 3h
Predyx is loving this
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Good for them. It’s a great bitcoin integrated project.
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He never believed in us.
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uh-hu... he's a sneaky lil expert gambler. No faith, only stats
Is there anyone who can catch @Aardvark?
I'm not good at running.
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I think Aardvarks sleep, someone will catch him then.
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @NovaRift 6h
Good idea
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Someone will catch me.
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20 sats \ 14 replies \ @NovaRift 6h
Yeah, but please go to sleep now!
This is a rigged game.
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Mhh, good point, but let's see.
Our API is not that easy to understand and they still need to pay for each comment. If it's a really naive bot, it's going to run into spam fees and/or comment way more than needed.
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100 comments for 1 sat each guarantees 900 sats profit
Rigged games are the most fun games there are.
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If they are rigged in your favour.
Damn! @Aardvark @grayruby @Undisciplined and @denlillaapan are talking chirping like parrots love birds.
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Shameless self-promotion: #950585
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I can’t believe you liked my trades. I worked hard on those.
10 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 2h
This
I need memes
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I was thinking the script would just fetch all comments on the post and reduce to calculate the leaderboard, instead of having to specify a nym manually
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100 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek OP 10h
I wanted to do that, but I realized the API makes this hard because of all the nested replies. I would have to assume some upper limit of how deeply nested replies are and then it might kill the server unnecessarily increase server load if everybody runs that script all the time.
So I decided to just use this simple SQL query for the leaderboard:
SELECT users.name, count("Item".id) AS nreplies
FROM "Item"
JOIN users ON users.id = "Item"."userId"
WHERE "rootId" = 948515 AND freebie = 'f'
GROUP BY users.name
ORDER BY nreplies DESC;
and give everyone a way to verify their own number by fetching all their own comments from last week (the items you can see in someone's profile) and then only counting the replies to this post.
What a terrible showing
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@coinsreporter is trying to move up the board. You guys can battle it out for 2nd.
30 sats \ 2 replies \ @OT 51m
Someone is going to write a script that will post a reply on every comment.
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 50m
Wouldn’t that fall under the bot category that is prohibited?
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 32m
I guess it would get scrutiny and probably fail.
Unless you can make it look real like random amounts of reply times with sleeping hours etc
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20 sats \ 2 replies \ @OT 3h
If you can post the most does it show determination or someone lack of a life?
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 2h
Both
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 2h
Opportunity cost
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20 sats \ 1 reply \ @OT 3h
@ek will regrek
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 2h
Who would zap this?
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Hey @mega_dreamer, there's something off in the NBA market. The orderbook for Memphis Grizzles says that I have 10k yes share on them but when I try to sell them they don't reflect. They aren't also there under the share holder.
CC: @grayruby: you also have 5k shares there?
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Yes, something is definitely not right. We'll look into it. Thanks for reporting it. The shareholders tab should show your and @grayruby's share.
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11 sats \ 9 replies \ @grayruby 6h
Maybe the payout is below a minimum threshold?
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I don't think so. I think there's some bug causing it. Because I can't find my buy in for Grizzles in the notifications.
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I think I also wagered in favor of SN breaking 1.4M items in 2025
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Weak! I wagered on Stacker News breaking 1.5M.
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We will get there by next week.
I was originally on YES but moved over to NO after seeing @denlillaapan's doom posting.
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leeeeesgooooe, we die together
20 sats \ 4 replies \ @NovaRift 5h
Are ya winning?
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always
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @NovaRift 5h
All barks no bites..
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20 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 5h
Haha. Winning but dying.
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @NovaRift 5h
Trust your thumb and your art of typing, and you'll win!
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Is this also a secret stress test for SN? I know there's no concern about pages loading with too many nests (since nested comments get thrown to another page), but wasn't sure if there was a thread limit of any sort, or how SN's backend database just handles a post with a ton of comments.
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21 sats \ 4 replies \ @grayruby 6h
I like this line of thinking
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21 sats \ 3 replies \ @NovaRift 6h
That's how conspiracy theories are made..
Nice nice nice.
A little coping but ok
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What does rediscover mean?
a) not finding out
b) reveal again
c) full of exploration
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How you gonna count comments for each user under this post?
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I wanted to mention that everybody should reply exclusively to their own replies so SN will count them for me (and if somebody else replies in their thread, it counts as a reply for them), but I will probably just use the API or read the database.
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I want to reply to everything.
Let's load up on some No contracts. THIS AIN'T SCARING ANYONE!
From the time you guys started talking, Bear Stearns stock has fallen more than 38 percent. Would you buy more now? Bruce Miller: [unsure] Sure. Yeah. I'd buy more. Why not? Mark Baum: BOOM.
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @Aardvark 3h
I considered it, but decided against it.
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badaboom :(
Holy shit, this is going to be wild.
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Yeah, buckle up buttercup. We're taken for a riiiiiide
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So... how's the weather? It's pretty nice here. Like mid 50s and breezy.
More of Sensei’s comments is a great thingy
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Aardvark 16h
I couldn't agree more.
HAHAHAHA what a cheap(!) way to turn the tides of an honest bet. Ah, man. Resorting not just to shit posting, but bribing the stackers to shitpost on your behalf.
well played, sir; weeeell played.
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I warned you that @ek is fully capable of determining the outcome of that event.
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I know, I know. Just never thought he actually would/there would come much from it
7 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek OP 19 Apr
I at least don't feel good about it haha. I have lost the battle but I haven't lost the war so far!
And we need to keep the bet interesting!
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True. It got boring for me to report a steady run towards inevitable victory
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Should I have pizza for dinner or something healthy? I had a salad with roasted chicken last night.
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I just ate BBQ chicken pizza. Was really good.
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Tasty. This is 4 meat. I am not sure what the 4th meat is. Looks like pepperoni, ham and beef to me but maybe some of the ham is bacon.
Since I'm seeing this in the morning, a note that leftover pizza is the breakfast of champions.
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Never had it for breakfast. But for lunch many times.
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How did you say It’s so Early! and mention @Car podcast and not mine?! You TROLLING
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10 sats \ 2 replies \ @Roll 8h
also
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24 sats \ 4 replies \ @Car 20h
haven’t seen @ek in two days and I see this post like…
I'm too far behind
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Never too far behind. Still 7 days to go.
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my god, that comment count is making me nervous
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I'm scared too!
I already have to pay out at least 52.5k sats for the top 5.
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plus the value at risk in the bet itself... oooh lord, what have we gotten ourselves into?!
10 sats \ 2 replies \ @NovaRift 6h
Breakthrough Prize Winner Gerard ’t Hooft Says Quantum Mechanics Is ‘Nonsense’. Source
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 6h
Wow that’s surprising.
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @NovaRift 6h
Absolutely!
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100 sats \ 21 replies \ @Roll 19 Apr
What a challenge...100 posts in 8 days.. so 10 per day at least let s see how far i go
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21 sats \ 9 replies \ @Roll 19 Apr
so i ve to talk to myself to make it counts quiet weird but why not ..ahaahha
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the things we do for love sats
let's go, you're my man!
@BlokchainB are you watching the Knicks game?
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Nah am I missing anything? 👀
knicks game ? it s a waht ?
I was waiting for someone to mention how valuable making a lot of comments could be in the context of the bet...
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Well, not really. I'll do some numbers in the morning, but ek has to keep up this charade (and more!) not for a day or a week like now, but for 260 goddamn days.
Phat chance
bet and you will find out
Is that thing @ken started still going? That’s gotta pad your stats a bit. I keep forgetting about it, but still have high hopes I’ll win it in the end.
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50 sats \ 1 reply \ @OT 11h
How's home mining going?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @jasonb 9h
Good! How about you? Did you get that s9?
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51 sats \ 9 replies \ @ek OP 19 Apr
Yes, #661571 is still going
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…and now I’m back in the running over there!
So just so I understand your bounty properly, does your comment on my comment apply towards my total?
LOL another crap MSM? Why?
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 5h
@ek is trying to pump up the numbers so he can make his bonus. Haha
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bc SN sucks
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24 sats \ 2 replies \ @OT 1h
@cryotosensei has a real job. Therefore he will lose
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I love the way you try to stir up shit haha
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🚨Spoiler Alert🚨 1st place: @grayruby 2nd place: @Aardvark 3rd place: ? 4th place: @denlillaapan 5th place: ?
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I got this, bro. No worries
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I know you're right but I also knew that something rigged like this would come into play.
Still a long way to go. 1800 comments daily for 250+ days would require them to double up their efforts.
I was hoping to get to 100 before recording this week's podcast but didn't quite make it. Things really slowed down in the thread.
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I've decided to reply all of your comments so as to see myself on the winners' list. Haha
Crap! I'm a half hour behind.
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just skip some sleep
every hour you skip you can post 6 comments for 1 sat!
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That's for vertical posting. I can reply way more than that horizontally.
This is what happens when you are building your media empire
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You never know what tradeoffs you'll have to make
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Can we get a leaderboard?
I'm sure you don't have enough real work to do.
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No leaderboard. No Rewards. No bounty. No zapping. No comments. No posts. No, Nothing, Noone except I.
— Darth, the influencer.
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You have not read my guides!
He's going to have a fun time counting.
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Or we will, since there's no other way to know he counted correctly.
10 sats \ 7 replies \ @OT 15h
Need more CC's...
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 3h
Moar
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0 sats \ 2 replies \ @Roll 8h
and DD's...
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @OT 3h
What ate DD's?
Anyone watching WrestleMania??
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20 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 22h
We were recording the pod. I watched a bit of it earlier. I want to watch the main event.
This sounds like fun
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I decided to let out my inner Darth. Maybe because I own a lot of NO shares.
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This is what market makers feel like every day
or foune
Oh well, Stackers.
I just gotta snatch third place here to have ek bail out my 7.5k sats placed on the bet.
Thanks for covering my buy-in, pal!
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pal
0 sats \ 4 replies \ @OT 15h
Will you get 3rd?
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Probably 1.
I am the kiiiing.
We need 1800ish comments per day to reach 1.4M by 31 Dec 2025.
It's not looking achievable even with this because we've been constantly falling short of daily target by 800 to 1000 items.
Undoubtedly this competition will increase the daily comments counts but I'm not so sure that it'll help break even 1800 items/day.
We need more people and more stackers and more engaging content to see it happen.
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I heard you call Sensei
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We really need you. I need you for moral support. @grayruby has @realBitcoinDog to talk to for no reason. I have many reminisce of our PPP talks and it's time we can do that again. For some happy sats...
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 15h
Retail died this bull run didn't they
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Does not sound this will provide much quality contents or constructive conversations
@remindme in 15151515 seconds
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The Predyx bet is about quantity, and has no adjustments for quality.
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Podt
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Yes
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Wait you’re encouraging me to post? I’m paid to post??
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10 sats \ 2 replies \ @Roll 8h
euhhhhh
And exchange good vibes with Sensei
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There is a bet on Predyx about SN reaching 1.4M items in 2025 or not:
There is one more: 1.5M items on SN in 2025. I have been saying that both of these will be "Yes". Now you believe me? CC: @denlillaapan
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May be it s written in Nostradamus prediction
No, actually still not. This lil stunt is funny, but work last
Do you see me selling my shares? diamond hands, bitch
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lol
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Post
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Ya
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xcellent :)
10 sats \ 4 replies \ @grayruby 7h
This is healthy right? Right?
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20 sats \ 1 reply \ @NovaRift 4h
Yesn't
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15 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 3h
I will take that as a yes.
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noews
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I will take that as a yes.
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @j7hB75 8h
🚨This post is just a distraction to take attention away from a similar post: #661571
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @NovaRift 5h
No
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0 sats \ 3 replies \ @Roll 9h
so it s party time
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @NovaRift 5h
Yeah
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Roll 8h
for 7 days
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30 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 3h
Need to cost in the electricity used to charge my phone battery
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Any predictions on the total comments on this post by the end of the contest? Do we hit 5k?
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20 sats \ 2 replies \ @NovaRift 7h
6.5k
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 7h
Good guess.
We'll hit 10k without a doubt.
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