i think someone is going to start a ~politics territory and get a ton of activity in the lead up to the 2024 election

There are currently 49 territories. I expect that to whittle down to 10-15 by end of 2024.

I would rather predict how many territories will be around than which one's will fall off.

I will say 12 territories by end of 2024.

My assessment is based on the perception of territory usage and user interests. Logically, a territory owner can always keep the territory alive even if it is not profitable. In this context, it is very difficult to make predictions with any degree of certainty.

03 ~AccessTribe 12 ~AGORA 06 ~AMA 06 ~art 03 ~B2B 12 ~bitcoin 06 ~bitcoin_beginners 03 ~bitdevs 12 ~BooksAndArticles 06 ~builders 03 ~Cannabis 03 ~christianity 06 ~crypto 03 ~DeepDive 03 ~Design 06 ~devs 03 ~DIY 06 ~Dogs_And_Cats 03 ~dotnet 06 ~earth 12 ~ecash 12 ~econ 06 ~health 03 ~hiphop 03 ~history 06 ~ideasfromtheedge 12 ~jobs 12 ~libertarian 12 ~lightning 03 ~lol 03 ~mempool 12 ~meta 06 ~mostly_harmless 12 ~Music 12 ~news 03 ~NixOS 12 ~nostr 06 ~opensource 06 ~oracle 12 ~Personal_Finance 06 ~podcasts 12 ~privacy 03 ~retrogaming 06 ~science 12 ~security 12 ~Stacker_Sports 03 ~startups 12 ~tech 03 ~UFOs

I don't want to predict anyone's demise, so I'll just say that I expect the territories I frequent to be around long term: ~econ ~Stacker_Sports ~libertarian ~BooksAndArticles

~BooksandArticles ~Design ~Health

Because Sensei will commit himself to posting regularly/semi-regularly in these territories and forwarding the founders some happy sats 😝

Easy picks are ~bitcoin, ~jobs, ~nostr, ~meta and ~tech. These are the OG territories (they existed before we launched territories in early December) and will thus be here forever.

I predict that my own territories will also be here forever, so that's ~security, ~oracle and ~crypto.

I tried to evaluate every other territory by following metrics:

👑 Territories that will definitely make it to 12 months from now:

~BooksAndArticles, ~Stacker_Sports, ~mostly_harmless, ~ideasfromtheedge, ~podcasts, ~privacy

🟢 Territories that should make it to 6 months:

~bitdevs, ~AGORA, ~AMA, ~art, ~devs, ~earth, ~lightning, ~Design, ~Music, ~builders, ~ecash, ~econ, ~Dogs_And_Cats, ~health, ~history, ~libertarian, ~lightning, ~NixOS, ~opensource, ~retrogaming, ~DeepDive

🟡 Territories that might make it to 3 months:

~Cannabis, ~christianity, ~bitcoin_beginners, ~DIY, ~hiphop, ~mempool, ~news, ~Personal_Finance, ~science, ~startups, ~UFOs

🔴 Territories I am not sure are going to see the light of mid-May:

~B2B, ~lol, ~dotnet

This should include every territory. It was actually quite fun to evaluate every one of them since some were very interesting to look at. I visited territories I never visited before. For example, ~DeepDive looked pretty dead but then I read the description and it makes sense. This is the most interesting territory I've seen. Will keep a close eye on this one.

Also, I did not consider the effects of future features like crossposting. Currently, posts are limited to a single territory so I believe territories are currently cannibalizing each other for attention. With crossposting, we might see a lot of activity on a lot more territories.

I hope no one feels offended by my highly biased evaluation since it's just my personal opinion. Also, you can see this as motivation or honest feedback. If you don't agree with some evaluation, I would also be open for discussion about it. Maybe I missed something? I also probably didn't give every territory the same amount of due diligence. For most territories, I just took a very quick peek (like a few seconds). Additionally, we currently can't see when a territory was founded. So some territories might just be very young.

I did not intend to create a list that in some way might be similar to credit ratings, but looking at it now, some people might see it as one, lol.

I hope for more territories to join. While I understand there is a cost plus community to be built as more users find the website I hope everyone find a sub group and they might rebrand their space.

If bullrun hits the market we will see something like ~alts, ~nocoinersLetters, ~fuckUpSyories, ~21millionsClub and many other localized territories like ~chinese, ~ru, ~spanish

I hope we'll see the undate with sub-sub territories, they'll be cheapers but extand main territory

I predict that ~Memes and ~Movies will be around as long as SN still exists (which I hope is forever)

I would like to have ~chess back.

Bitcoin is ALL Season

Re: #428575 by @030e0dca83

I think localized territories will not make much sense in the long run, just because if @SN want to expand and grow, enabling multilanguage support is a must!

We territory owners have inside information.

Profitable ones, and those run by enthusiasts who have deep in their pockets, I mean, Bitcoin hearts.

Meta and Bitcoin will be around for many years.